Everton vs Chelsea Prediction

Saturday 17 October 2026, 12:30 Premier League

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1057 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Everton 24% Draw 26% Chelsea 48%

The desk has not written a card on this game. FBB Pro is the singles we'd pick ourselves, each with the desk's research behind it. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org

The read

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Neck and neck in the Premier League standings. Everton (7th, 9 pts) host Chelsea (10th, 7 pts) in a contest that promises intensity.

Marginal call: the model leans Chelsea but not to an outright win, and the draw is live, so it backs the safer call below. Its number on that call sits in the call box, with the desk's verdict beside it.

The model says

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The call on this game Over 1.5
The best price 1.20Bet365

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.20

The free pick of the day: Accrington ST v Cheltenham. One more game passed the rule today. See which, seven days for £1

The model v the market

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Match modelBest priceImplied
Everton win 24% 3.10 32%
Draw 26% 3.50 29%
Chelsea win 48% 2.20 45%
Everton or draw 58% 1.67 60%
Chelsea or draw 70% 1.36 74%
Either side to win, no draw 1.30 77%
Over 2.5 goals 58% 1.67 60%
Both teams to score 59% 1.53 65%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.

Every priced market

10 markets
Chelsea over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.18
Under 4 goals Marathon Bet 1.18
Chelsea under 2.5 goals Bet365 1.25
Under 2.5 second half goals William Hill 1.25
Everton over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.28
Everton or Chelsea (double chance) William Hill 1.30
Over 2 goals Marathon Bet 1.28
Over 0.5 first half goals Bet365 1.30
Over 1 second half goals Marathon Bet 1.31
Chelsea or Draw (double chance) William Hill 1.36

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Recent form

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Everton WWDDDW

Last 6, newest first: 3 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost. 9 scored, 3 conceded.

Sat 19 Sep v Ipswich Town 1-0 Won
Wed 16 Sep v Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-0 Won
Sat 12 Sep at tottenham hotspur 0-0 Drew
Sun 6 Sep v Manchester United 2-2 Drew
Sat 29 Aug at afc bournemouth 1-1 Drew
Wed 26 Aug at preston north end 4-0 Won
Chelsea LDWLWW

Last 6, newest first: 3 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost. 15 scored, 13 conceded.

Fri 18 Sep at brentford 0-3 Lost
Sat 12 Sep v Hull City 2-2 Drew
Wed 9 Sep v Leeds United 6-3 Won
Sun 6 Sep at arsenal 1-2 Lost
Sun 30 Aug v Brighton & Hove Albion 4-3 Won
Thu 27 Aug v Luton Town 2-0 Won

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Everton v Chelsea: the numbers

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EvertonChelsea 7League position10 2-3-0League record, won-drawn-lost2-1-2 6-3Goals for and against10-12 9Points7 2-1-0Home record v away record1-0-2 1.20Scored a game2.00 0.60Conceded a game2.40 com.footballodds.service.XgService$TeamXg@50b54b62xG forcom.footballodds.service.XgService$TeamXg@340df095 29%Clean sheets24% 26%Failed to score18% 50%Both teams scored63%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Everton v Chelsea: head to head

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Everton won 3 3 draws Chelsea won 4
2.2 goals a game 2/10 both scored 3/10 over 2.5
21 Mar 2026 Everton v Chelsea 3-0
13 Dec 2025 Chelsea v Everton 2-0
26 Apr 2025 Chelsea v Everton 1-0
22 Dec 2024 Everton v Chelsea 0-0
15 Apr 2024 Chelsea v Everton 6-0
10 Dec 2023 Everton v Chelsea 2-0
18 Mar 2023 Chelsea v Everton 2-2
6 Aug 2022 Everton v Chelsea 0-1
1 May 2022 Everton v Chelsea 1-0
16 Dec 2021 Chelsea v Everton 1-1

Likely scorelines

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1-27% 1-33% 2-33% 0-32%

From each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.

Everton vs Chelsea: FAQs

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Everton vs Chelsea prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Over 1.5 at 1.20. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Everton vs Chelsea kick off?

Everton vs Chelsea kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:30 UK time (Premier League).

What are the best odds for Everton vs Chelsea?

The best prices across the books we track: Everton 3.10, the draw 3.50, Chelsea 2.20. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

What form are Everton and Chelsea in?

Everton have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 6 (W W D D D W, newest first), scoring 9 and conceding 3. Chelsea have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 6 (L D W L W W, newest first), scoring 15 and conceding 13.

What is the head to head between Everton and Chelsea?

In their last 10 meetings on our record, Everton won 3, Chelsea won 4 and 3 were drawn. The most recent, 21 Mar 2026, finished Everton 3-0 Chelsea.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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The pick of the day is free, in full, on days with two or more singles. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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