Liverpool crestManchester United crest

Liverpool vs Manchester United Prediction

Sunday 22 November 2026, 16:30 Premier League

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1268 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Liverpool crestLiverpool 51% Draw 24% Manchester United crestManchester United 26%

The desk has not written a card on this game. FBB Pro is the singles we'd pick ourselves, each with the desk's research behind it. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org

The read

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It's derby day in the Premier League as Liverpool host Manchester United in one of the fixtures both sets of fans circle on the calendar. Liverpool sit 6th (15 pts) while Manchester United are 18th (7 pts). but form goes out the window in games like this.

A razor-thin margin: Liverpool at 51%, but the draw sits at 24%. Covering two of the three results is the sensible approach when the margins are this fine.

The model says

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The call on this game Liverpool or Draw
The best price 1.25BetVictor

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.25

3 games passed the rule today. See which, seven days for £1

The model v the market

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Match modelBest priceImplied
Liverpool win 51% 1.83 55%
Draw 24% 3.90 26%
Manchester United win 26% 4.00 25%
Liverpool or draw 78% 1.25 80%
Manchester United or draw 52% 1.91 52%
Either side to win, no draw 1.25 80%
Over 2.5 goals 56% 1.57 64%
Both teams to score 60% 1.53 65%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.

Every priced market

11 markets
Liverpool or Draw (double chance) BetVictor 1.25
Liverpool or Manchester United (double chance) Bet365 1.25
Over 2 goals Pinnacle 1.27
Under 4 goals Pinnacle 1.28
Under 2 first half goals Marathon Bet 1.24
Over 0.5 first half goals BetVictor 1.29
Under 2.5 second half goals Bet365 1.28
Over 1 second half goals Marathon Bet 1.27
Manchester United over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.33
Liverpool under 2.5 goals Bet365 1.36
Manchester United under 1.5 goals Bet365 1.44

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Recent form

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Liverpool crestLiverpool LLDWWW

Last 6, newest first: 3 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost. 11 scored, 9 conceded.

Wed 4 Nov Fenerbahce crestat Fenerbahce 2-3 Lost
Sun 1 Nov Arsenal crestv Arsenal 0-1 Lost
Wed 28 Oct Chelsea crestv Chelsea 1-1 Drew
Sun 25 Oct Brighton & Hove Albion crestv Brighton & Hove Albion 2-0 Won
Tue 20 Oct Villarreal crestv Villarreal 4-3 Won
Sat 17 Oct Brentford crestat Brentford 2-1 Won
Manchester United crestManchester United WLLLDL

Last 6, newest first: 1 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost. 5 scored, 14 conceded.

Tue 3 Nov AS Roma crestv AS Roma 3-2 Won
Sat 31 Oct Chelsea crestat Chelsea 0-2 Lost
Sun 25 Oct AFC Bournemouth crestv AFC Bournemouth 0-3 Lost
Wed 21 Oct Como crestat Como 1-4 Lost
Sun 18 Oct Leeds United crestat Leeds United 1-1 Drew
Tue 13 Oct Atlético Madrid crestat Atlético Madrid 0-2 Lost

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Liverpool v Manchester United: the numbers

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Liverpool crestLiverpoolManchester United crestManchester United 6League position18 4-3-2League record, won-drawn-lost1-4-4 11-9Goals for and against10-15 15Points7 1-2-2Home record v away record0-3-2 1.22Scored a game1.11 1.00Conceded a game1.67 1.47xG for a game1.53 26%Clean sheets21% 11%Failed to score11% 68%Both teams scored71%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Liverpool v Manchester United: head to head

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Liverpool won 3 3 draws Manchester United won 4
3.9 goals a game 6/10 both scored 9/10 over 2.5
3 May 2026 Manchester United crestLiverpool crestManchester United v Liverpool 3-2
19 Oct 2025 Liverpool crestManchester United crestLiverpool v Manchester United 1-2
5 Jan 2025 Liverpool crestManchester United crestLiverpool v Manchester United 2-2
1 Sep 2024 Manchester United crestLiverpool crestManchester United v Liverpool 0-3
3 Aug 2024 Manchester United crestLiverpool crestManchester United v Liverpool 0-3
7 Apr 2024 Manchester United crestLiverpool crestManchester United v Liverpool 2-2
17 Mar 2024 Manchester United crestLiverpool crestManchester United v Liverpool 4-3
17 Dec 2023 Liverpool crestManchester United crestLiverpool v Manchester United 0-0
5 Mar 2023 Liverpool crestManchester United crestLiverpool v Manchester United 7-0
22 Aug 2022 Manchester United crestLiverpool crestManchester United v Liverpool 2-1

Likely scorelines

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2-19% 3-14% 3-04% 3-22% 4-12% 4-02%

From each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.

Liverpool vs Manchester United: FAQs

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Liverpool vs Manchester United prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Liverpool or Draw at 1.25. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Liverpool vs Manchester United kick off?

Liverpool vs Manchester United kicks off on Sunday 22 November 2026 at 16:30 UK time (Premier League).

What are the best odds for Liverpool vs Manchester United?

The best prices across the books we track: Liverpool 1.83, the draw 3.90, Manchester United 4.00. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

What form are Liverpool and Manchester United in?

Liverpool have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 6 (L L D W W W, newest first), scoring 11 and conceding 9. Manchester United have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 6 (W L L L D L, newest first), scoring 5 and conceding 14.

What is the head to head between Liverpool and Manchester United?

In their last 10 meetings on our record, Liverpool won 3, Manchester United won 4 and 3 were drawn. The most recent, 3 May 2026, finished Manchester United 3-2 Liverpool.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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