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Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Too close to call on the numbers. LA Galaxy 38%, New England Revolution 39%, the draw live at 21%.
LA Galaxy have taken five points from their last five; New England Revolution have taken 7 points from their last five. Form gives little away going into this MLS tie.
Carles Gil has been New England Revolution's main threat, with 8 goals and 4 assists in 22 appearances, averaging 0.91 shots on target per game.
Our PickThree or more goals at @1.57. Model probability 61% vs implied 64%. Priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
New England Revolution have been outstanding on the road recently. Their away form is significantly better than their season average.
LA Galaxy average 1.0 goals per game and New England Revolution manage 1.3. Combined that's just 2.3. Even so, we make it 61% for three or more. The model sees more goals here than the season averages suggest.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | LA Galaxy Win | @2.30 | 37.7% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.40 | 21.2% | William Hill |
| Match Result | New England Revolution Win | @2.80 | 39.2% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.57 | 60.6% | William Hill |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.30 | 39.4% | William Hill |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model makes New England Revolution the favourite with a 39.2% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: LA Galaxy @ 2.30, Draw @ 3.40, New England Revolution @ 2.80. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
LA Galaxy vs New England Revolution kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 02:30 in the MLS.