Player Form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
E
Evander
1+ Shots on Target
84% (model)
Evander averages 1.67 SoT/match (21 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
K
K. Denkey
1+ Shots on Target
65% (model)
K. Denkey averages 0.95 SoT/match (21 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
E
Evander
Anytime Scorer
58% (model)
Evander on 0.57 goals/match (21 apps), home vs opp conceding 1.83 goals/game
E
Evander
2+ Shots on Target
55% (model)
Evander averages 1.67 SoT/match (21 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
K
K. Denkey
Anytime Scorer
55% (model)
K. Denkey on 0.52 goals/match (21 apps), home vs opp conceding 1.83 goals/game
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
01The read
FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United: Match Preview & Prediction
The model makes FC Cincinnati 57% favourites here. D.C. United carry the 23% upset.
FC Cincinnati have won three of their last five; D.C. United have taken six points from their last five. The momentum is with the hosts going into this MLS tie.
Evander has been FC Cincinnati's spearhead, with 12 goals and 8 assists in 21 appearances, averaging 1.67 shots on target per game. Whoever leads D.C. United's line will have a job on against that profile.
Our pick
Tracking this league
Our PickFC Cincinnati to win at @1.53. Model probability 57% vs implied 65%. The market is 8pp more bullish than our model, so this is a stability pick, not a value one.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Key men
E
Evander
FC Cincinnati · Midfielder
12 goals · 8 assists in 21 apps
1.7 shots on target a game
Key facts
⚽
Open Games
Both teams score in 92% of FC Cincinnati's matches. Their games rarely stay quiet
▸ Form & goals
FC Cincinnati's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf.
Goals are a tough one to call here. FC Cincinnati are scoring 1.4 a game (1.5 of those at home) and D.C. United manage 1.8 (1.8 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 68%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
Top Anytime Scorers
-
Evander
58%
-
K. Denkey
55%
Latest News
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Team Intel
📊 FC Cincinnati · xG
For: 1.36/g
Against: 1.91/g
Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
FC Cincinnati Win |
@1.53
|
56.9% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@4.60
|
18.7% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
D.C. United Win |
@4.60
|
22.5% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.36
|
68.3% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@2.90
|
31.7% |
William Hill |
05The numbers
FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United Team Stats
FC Cincinnati
Played
38
Record
22W-5D-11L
Goals F/A
55/49
Avg Goals Scored
1.40
Overall Form
WDWLW
Home Form
WWWWL
Home Record
11W-3D-6L
D.C. United
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
2-1
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
3-2
3.5%
3-0
3.0%
4-1
1.9%
4-2
1.4%
4-0
1.2%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles 1 priced markets
-
Over 2.5 goals
74%
@1.36
William Hill
Build a slip from these markets →