Gremio vs Palmeiras Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Gremio (9th, 49 pts) host Palmeiras (2nd, 76 pts) in the Brasileirão Série A. Both sides will be targeting three points here.
Carlos Vinícius has been Gremio's spearhead, with 10 goals and 1 assists in 23 appearances, averaging 0.96 shots on target per game. J. López has been Palmeiras's main threat, with 8 goals and 4 assists in 22 appearances, averaging 0.82 shots on target per game.
Palmeiras are no pushovers away from home. W11 D2 L6 from 19 away trips, scoring 1.6 per game on the road. Gremio (W9 D5 L5 at home) can't afford to take this lightly.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Gremio create chances worth 1.6 a game (and give up chances worth 1.3), leaving them +0.3 a game on the balance. Palmeiras create 1.4 (giving up 1.2) for a balance of +0.2. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
Gremio average 1.2 goals per game and Palmeiras manage 1.7. Combined that's just 2.9. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Palmeiras prefer to keep things tight (0.9 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Gremio against this setup.
In the last 10 meetings: Gremio have won 2, Palmeiras 7, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 2.8 goals per game. 5 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Palmeiras 2-1 Gremio, Gremio 3-2 Palmeiras, Palmeiras 1-0 Gremio.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Gremio Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Palmeiras Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Gremio vs Palmeiras kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:00 in the Brasileirão Série A.