Bet Builder · Fixture Tip

Gremio vs Palmeiras Bet Builder Tip

Sunday 20 September 2026, 15:00 · Brasileirão Série A

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

Our Model's Picks

Live bookie odds · verified record coming soon

Our 2-Leg Bet Builder

84.4% chance all legs land · model probability on each rail

Combined fair odds @1.18
  • Palmeiras or draw

    ≈1.11

    Probability: 90.0% · Fair odds: 1.11

    API-Football's own advice for this game is double chance, Palmeiras or draw (90%).

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    ≈1.07

    Probability: 93.8% · Fair odds: 1.07

    API-Football goals model: expected goals 2.50 + 3.50 → Over 2.5 Goals at 94%.

Built from the bookmakers' fair odds for Gremio vs Palmeiras, 84.4% combined. Legs treated as independent, so treat this as a guide.

More to Build With

Extra markets · not tracked

Player Form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • Carlos Vinícius Gremio
    Shots on Target 1+ 65%

    Carlos Vinícius averages 0.96 SoT/match (23 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 1.05, P(1+)=65% P(2+)=28%

  • Maurício Palmeiras
    Shots on Target 1+ 64%

    Maurício averages 0.77 SoT/match (22 apps) [WC form: 2.73/90 over 2 games (99 min), 19% weight → 1.15], away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 1.03, P(1+)=64% P(2+)=28%

  • J. López Palmeiras
    Shots on Target 1+ 52%

    J. López averages 0.82 SoT/match (22 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.74, P(1+)=52% P(2+)=17%

  • Allan Palmeiras
    Shots on Target 1+ 47%

    Allan averages 0.71 SoT/match (21 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.64, P(1+)=47% P(2+)=14%

  • Tetê Gremio
    Shots on Target 1+ 47%

    Tetê averages 0.58 SoT/match (19 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.64, P(1+)=47% P(2+)=13%

  • J. Arias Palmeiras
    Shots on Target 1+ 43%

    J. Arias averages 0.63 SoT/match (19 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.57, P(1+)=43% P(2+)=11%

  • F. Amuzu Gremio
    Shots on Target 1+ 36%

    F. Amuzu averages 0.41 SoT/match (22 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.45, P(1+)=36% P(2+)=8%

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match Stats

Informational only, not part of our tracked record. These corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.

  • Over 8.5 Match Corners, 36% Corners: Gremio avg 5.0 for/2.0 against, Palmeiras avg 4.7 for/3.6 against → expected 7.6 match corners
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards, 50% Cards: Gremio avg 1.7/game, Palmeiras avg 2.0/game → expected 3.7 match cards
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls, 47% Fouls: Gremio avg 11.7/game, Palmeiras avg 12.6/game → expected 24.2 match fouls
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots, 83% Shots: Gremio avg 16.0/game, Palmeiras avg 16.0/game → expected 32.0 match shots

How is this built?

This bet builder is auto-generated by our football model across hundreds of weekly picks. Every leg is a team market (match result, goals, BTTS). Each leg shows the model's probability alongside the fair odds, so you can see exactly where we think the edge is. We don't cherry-pick wins; we log every prediction we publish, win or lose. Player markets shown above are informational only and never count toward that record. This is a league we don't have a proven record on yet, so these legs are the model's read on the bookies' odds, not yet part of our verified record.

View our full verified track record →  |  Full match preview →