Flamengo vs RB Bragantino Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
Get the model's verified verdict on Flamengo (and any team you follow) emailed the moment odds drop. Free, no spam, one-click unsubscribe.
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Flamengo (1st, 79 pts) host RB Bragantino (10th, 48 pts) in the Brasileirão Série A. Both sides will be targeting three points here.
Pedro has been Flamengo's spearhead, with 15 goals and 5 assists in 25 appearances, averaging 1.16 shots on target per game. I. Pitta has been RB Bragantino's main threat, with 6 goals and 2 assists in 22 appearances, averaging 0.64 shots on target per game.
Flamengo's home record this season is formidable. W14 D5 L0 from 19, scoring 2.4 goals per game at home. RB Bragantino, by contrast, have struggled on the road (W5 D2 L12 from 19 away). That imbalance is hard to ignore.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Flamengo create chances worth 2.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.0), leaving them +1.1 a game on the balance. RB Bragantino create 1.2 (giving up 1.2) for a balance of 0.0. The underlying numbers clearly favour Flamengo. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones.
Flamengo average 2.1 goals per game and RB Bragantino manage 1.2. Combined that's just 3.3. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Flamengo and RB Bragantino together create chances worth 3.3 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
Flamengo are in great shape right now, banging in 2.1 a game and only letting in 0.7. They're strong at both ends, so they tend to boss games and don't give much away at the back.
In the last 10 meetings: Flamengo have won 5, RB Bragantino 3, with 2 draws. These fixtures average 2.7 goals per game. 6 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: RB Bragantino 3-0 Flamengo, Flamengo 3-0 RB Bragantino, RB Bragantino 1-2 Flamengo.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Flamengo Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | RB Bragantino Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Flamengo vs RB Bragantino kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 22:30 in the Brasileirão Série A.