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Atletico Paranaense have won three of their last six; Bahia are unbeaten in their last five. The momentum is with the hosts going into this Brasileirão Série A tie.
K. Viveros has been Atletico Paranaense's spearhead, with 17 goals and 3 assists in 24 appearances, averaging 1.71 shots on target per game. Jean Lucas has been Bahia's main threat, with 3 goals and 3 assists in 21 appearances, averaging 0.29 shots on target per game.
Atletico Paranaense average 1.8 goals per game and Bahia manage 1.3. Combined that's just 3.1. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Atletico Paranaense are all-out attack: 1.8 goals a game, but they leak 1.7 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Bahia, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
In the last 10 meetings: Atletico Paranaense have won 3, Bahia 5, with 2 draws. These fixtures average 2.5 goals per game. 5 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Bahia 3-0 Atletico Paranaense, Bahia 1-1 Atletico Paranaense, Atletico Paranaense 1-3 Bahia.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Atletico Paranaense Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Bahia Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 23:30 in the Brasileirão Série A.