Everton vs Ipswich Predictions & Odds
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A Premier League meeting between Everton (7th, 4 pts) and Ipswich (12th, 3 pts). Two sides with their own objectives and plenty to play for.
Everton's home record this season is formidable. W1 D0 L0 from 1, scoring 2.0 goals per game at home. Ipswich, by contrast, have struggled on the road (W0 D0 L1 from 1 away). That imbalance is hard to ignore. Season-long, Everton average 2.0 points per game compared to Ipswich's 1.5. that gap in consistency is hard to ignore. The gap in chance quality is clear: Ipswich come out at +0.8 a game (chances they create minus chances they give up) compared to -0.3. that's a real edge in the quality of chances.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Everton create chances worth 1.3 a game (and give up chances worth 1.6), leaving them -0.3 a game on the balance. Ipswich create 1.9 (giving up 1.1) for a balance of +0.8. On the quality of chances, Ipswich look the stronger side. they create more and give up less.
Goals look likely here. Everton average 1.5 per game (2.0 at home) and Ipswich chip in with 2.0 (2.0 away). Defensively, Everton concede 0.0 at home and Ipswich leak 5.0 on the road. We make it 64% for three or more goals. The numbers back it without being overwhelming. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 53%. Their past meetings back this up. These two average 3.0 goals when they meet, with 1 of the last 2 producing three or more. The chance-quality data backs the goals case. Everton create chances worth 1.3 a game and Ipswich 1.9. Combined, that's 3.2 a game from open play alone.
Both teams score in 53% of Everton's home games and 61% of Ipswich's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Everton do it the hard way: only 1.5 a game up top, but a mean 0.5 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break. Ipswich have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (3.0 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end. Don't underestimate the visitors. Ipswich create chances worth 1.9 a game and Everton give up chances worth 1.6 at home. The away side could control the ball here.
In the last 2 meetings: Everton have won 1, Ipswich 0, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 3.0 goals per game. 1 of the last 2 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Everton 2-2 Ipswich, Ipswich 0-2 Everton.
Most likely scorelines: 2-1 (10%) and 3-1 (7%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Everton Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Ipswich Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Limited recent meetings (2), too small a sample for a reliable head-to-head split.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Everton vs Ipswich kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 in the Premier League.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 52.9% probability.