Match Stats
Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
-
Over 11.5 Match Corners
61% (model)
Corners: Cambridge United avg 7.0 for/4.2 against, Millwall avg 4.7 for/9.3 against → expected 12.6 match corners
-
Over 2.5 Match Cards
30% (model)
Cards: Cambridge United avg 0.6/game, Millwall avg 1.3/game → expected 1.9 match cards
-
Over 20.5 Match Fouls
57% (model)
Fouls: Cambridge United avg 8.8/game, Millwall avg 12.7/game → expected 21.5 match fouls
-
Over 26.5 Match Shots
77% (model)
Shots: Cambridge United avg 15.6/game, Millwall avg 15.0/game → expected 30.6 match shots
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
01The read
Analysing Cambridge United vs Millwall: Who Wins?
The model makes Millwall 47% favourites here. Cambridge United carry the 25% upset.
Cambridge United have won three of their last five; Millwall have taken 8 points from their last five. Form gives little away going into this EFL Cup tie.
Key facts
⚽
Open Games
Both teams score in 60% of Cambridge United's matches. Their games rarely stay quiet
▸ Form & goals
Goals are a tough one to call here. Cambridge United are scoring 1.8 a game (1.8 of those at home) and Millwall manage 1.3 (1.3 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 52%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 52%.
▸ Team news & context
Cambridge United are all-out attack: 1.8 goals a game, but they leak 1.0 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Millwall, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. Millwall prefer to keep things tight (0.7 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Cambridge United against this setup. Both sides keep clean sheets regularly. This could be a tight, low-block affair where the first goal is decisive.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
First Half Result
-
Cambridge United HT
4.38
-
Draw HT
2.25
-
Millwall HT
2.75
Latest News
Loading latest news...
Team Intel
📊 Millwall · xG
For: 1.30/g
Against: 1.37/g
Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Cambridge United vs Millwall Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Cambridge United Win |
@3.50
|
25.1% |
Bet365 |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@3.30
|
28.1% |
Bet365 |
| Match Result |
Millwall Win |
@2.05
|
46.8% |
Bet365 |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.80
|
51.5% |
Bet365 |
| BTTS |
No |
@2.10
|
48.5% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.95
|
52.0% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@1.87
|
48.0% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.28
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@3.50
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@3.40
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.33
|
- |
Bet365 |
05The numbers
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.5%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
0-3
2.3%
2-3
1.8%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles 12 priced markets
-
Over 8 corners
85%
@1.18
1xBet
-
Millwall over 0.5 goals
83%
@1.24
Betano
-
Under 12.5 corners
82%
@1.27
Betano
-
Over 0.5 second half goals
81%
@1.25
10Bet
-
Over 1.5 goals
80%
@1.32
Betano
-
Cambridge United or Millwall (double chance)
80%
@1.35
Marathon Bet
-
Millwall or Draw (double chance)
80%
@1.31
Betano
-
Under 2 second half goals
79%
@1.27
Marathon Bet
-
Under 3.5 goals
78%
@1.33
Unibet
-
Millwall over 3.5 corners
77%
@1.30
Unibet
-
Millwall under 2 goals
76%
@1.31
Marathon Bet
-
Cambridge United over 0.5 goals
76%
@1.42
Betano
Build a slip from these markets →