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The model makes Al-Qadsiah 47% favourites here. Al-Ahli carry the 29% upset.
Al-Qadsiah have won three straight; Al-Ahli have lost their last two. Form gives little away going into this Saudi Pro League tie.
Both sides are prolific in front of goal. Al-Qadsiah average 2.6 per game and Al-Ahli chip in with 2.2. Expect an open, attacking contest.
Al-Qadsiah average 2.6 goals per game and Al-Ahli manage 2.2. Combined that's just 4.8. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Al-Qadsiah are in great shape right now, banging in 2.6 a game and only letting in 0.6. They're strong at both ends, so they tend to boss games and don't give much away at the back. Al-Ahli have goals in them (2.2 per game) but their record at the back (1.1 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end. Both sides keep clean sheets regularly. This could be a tight, low-block affair where the first goal is decisive.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Al-Qadsiah Win | @1.88 | 46.9% | Grosvenor |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.75 | 23.9% | Grosvenor |
| Match Result | Al-Ahli Win | @3.25 | 29.2% | Grosvenor |
Our model makes Al-Qadsiah the favourite with a 46.9% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Al-Qadsiah @ 1.88, Draw @ 3.75, Al-Ahli @ 3.25. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Al-Qadsiah vs Al-Ahli kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:00 in the Saudi Pro League.