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Al-Fateh 31%, the draw 26%, Diriyah Club 43%. That's the shape of this one.
The bookmakers open Al-Fateh at @2.70 for this Saudi Pro League tie, with Diriyah Club out at @2.23.
Our PickThree or more goals at @1.57. Model probability 61% vs implied 64%. Priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Al-Fateh average 0.7 goals per game and Diriyah Club manage 0.0. Combined that's just 0.7. Even so, we make it 61% for three or more. The model sees more goals here than the season averages suggest.
Diriyah Club prefer to keep things tight (0.0 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Al-Fateh against this setup.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Al-Fateh Win | @2.70 | 30.6% | Grosvenor |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.50 | 26.2% | Grosvenor |
| Match Result | Diriyah Club Win | @2.23 | 43.2% | Grosvenor |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.57 | 60.6% | Grosvenor |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.30 | 39.4% | Grosvenor |
Our model makes Diriyah Club the favourite with a 43.2% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Al-Fateh @ 2.70, Draw @ 3.50, Diriyah Club @ 2.23. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Al-Fateh vs Diriyah Club kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 19:00 in the Saudi Pro League.