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The model makes Al-Taawoun 47% favourites here. Al-Hazem carry the 27% upset.
Al-Hazem have taken 7 points from their last five; Al-Taawoun are winless in their last five. The momentum is with the hosts going into this Saudi Pro League tie.
Al-Hazem average 1.1 goals per game and Al-Taawoun manage 1.1. Combined that's just 2.2. Even so, we make it 59% for three or more. The model sees more goals here than the season averages suggest.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Al-Hazem Win | @3.10 | 26.8% | Grosvenor |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.50 | 26.3% | Grosvenor |
| Match Result | Al-Taawoun Win | @2.02 | 46.8% | Grosvenor |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.61 | 59.3% | Grosvenor |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.23 | 40.7% | Grosvenor |
Our model makes Al-Taawoun the favourite with a 46.8% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Al-Hazem @ 3.10, Draw @ 3.50, Al-Taawoun @ 2.02. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Al-Hazem vs Al-Taawoun kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 16:55 in the Saudi Pro League.