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West Ham have taken 8 points from their last five; Fulham have taken 7 points from their last five. Form gives little away going into this EFL Cup tie.
Fulham are creating better chances than their goal return suggests (chance quality of 1.3 against 1.1 actual goals). They look due a few more.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
West Ham create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them -0.2 a game on the balance. Fulham create 1.3 (giving up 1.3) for a balance of 0.0. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath. Fulham are creating chances worth 1.3 a game but only finishing 1.1. the underlying performance is better than the results show.
West Ham average 1.9 goals per game and Fulham manage 1.1. Combined that's just 3.0. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
West Ham are all-out attack: 1.9 goals a game, but they leak 1.6 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Fulham, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
In the last 10 meetings: West Ham have won 4, Fulham 3, with 3 draws. These fixtures average 2.3 goals per game. 3 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Fulham 0-1 West Ham, West Ham 0-1 Fulham, West Ham 3-2 Fulham.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | West Ham Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Fulham Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
West Ham vs Fulham kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 19:45 in the EFL Cup.