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Liverpool are winless in their last five; Tottenham have lost three of their last five. Form gives little away going into this EFL Cup tie.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Liverpool create chances worth 1.5 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them +0.1 a game on the balance. Tottenham create 1.2 (giving up 1.0) for a balance of +0.1. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
Liverpool average 1.7 goals per game and Tottenham manage 1.4. Combined that's just 3.1. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Neither defence inspires confidence. Both sides rarely keep clean sheets. Open, attacking football is on the cards.
In the last 10 meetings: Liverpool have won 7, Tottenham 2, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 4.4 goals per game. 8 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: Liverpool 1-1 Tottenham, Tottenham 1-2 Liverpool, Liverpool 5-1 Tottenham, Liverpool 4-0 Tottenham.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (10%) and 1-2 (9%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Liverpool Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Tottenham Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Liverpool vs Tottenham kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 20:00 in the EFL Cup.