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West Brom have won three of their last five; QPR are unbeaten in their last six. Form gives little away going into this Championship tie.
Both sides are prolific in front of goal. West Brom average 2.5 per game and QPR chip in with 2.8. Expect an open, attacking contest. A concern for QPR: they're giving up chances worth 1.7 a game over their last 5 (vs 1.3 for the season). The defence is creaking.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
West Brom create chances worth 1.6 a game (and give up chances worth 1.0), leaving them +0.7 a game on the balance. QPR create 1.3 (giving up 1.3) for a balance of -0.1. The underlying numbers clearly favour West Brom. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones. QPR's defence is giving up chances. Worth 1.7 a game over their last 5 vs 1.3 for the season. They're becoming easier to break down.
West Brom average 2.5 goals per game and QPR manage 2.8. Combined that's just 5.3. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Both teams score in 52% of West Brom's home games and 67% of QPR's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
West Brom are all-out attack: 2.5 goals a game, but they leak 1.0 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at QPR, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. QPR have goals in them (2.8 per game) but their record at the back (1.0 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
In the last 10 meetings: West Brom have won 6, QPR 2, with 2 draws. These fixtures average 2.7 goals per game. 6 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: West Brom 2-1 QPR, QPR 3-1 West Brom, West Brom 1-0 QPR.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | West Brom Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | QPR Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
West Brom vs QPR kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 12:30 in the Championship.