Blackburn vs Millwall Predictions & Odds
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A Championship meeting between Blackburn (6th, 4 pts) and Millwall (1st, 6 pts). Two sides with their own objectives and plenty to play for.
Millwall are no pushovers away from home. W1 D0 L0 from 1 away trips, scoring 2.0 per game on the road. Blackburn (W1 D0 L0 at home) can't afford to take this lightly. Both sides are prolific in front of goal. Blackburn average 2.0 per game and Millwall chip in with 2.5. Expect an open, attacking contest.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Blackburn create chances worth 1.1 a game (and give up chances worth 1.5), leaving them -0.5 a game on the balance. Millwall create 1.3 (giving up 1.4) for a balance of -0.1. On the quality of chances, Millwall look the stronger side. they create more and give up less.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Blackburn are scoring 2.0 a game (2.0 of those at home) and Millwall manage 2.5 (2.0 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 53%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 44%.
Both teams score in 57% of Blackburn's home games and 61% of Millwall's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Promotion is on the line. Blackburn (6th) and Millwall (1st) are both in the playoff places. This could determine who goes up.
Blackburn are all-out attack: 2.0 goals a game, but they leak 1.5 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Millwall, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. Millwall are similarly well-balanced. 2.5 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. This has the makings of a tight, tactical game between two organised sides.
In the last 10 meetings: Blackburn have won 6, Millwall 1, with 3 draws. These fixtures average 2.8 goals per game. 5 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: Millwall 1-2 Blackburn, Blackburn 2-0 Millwall, Blackburn 4-1 Millwall.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Blackburn Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Millwall Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Blackburn vs Millwall kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 in the Championship.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 44.4% probability.