Who is favourite to win Sunderland vs Fulham?

Our model rates Fulham as the favourite with a 43.1% win probability. The full 1X2 split: Sunderland 28.6%, draw 26.3%, Fulham 43.1%.

Where can I watch Sunderland vs Fulham?

Check official Premier League broadcaster listings (Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Premier Sports, BBC, ITV) for live TV coverage. UK streaming details are confirmed by rights holders closer to kickoff.

How many goals are expected in Sunderland vs Fulham?

Our model gives Over 2.5 goals a 54.8% probability and Under 2.5 goals 45.2%. The lean is towards a high-scoring game.

70% verified · 824 picks Premier League Sunday 30 August 2026, 14:00

Sunderland vs Fulham Predictions & Odds

S Sunderland 28.6% @2.60

VS Draw 26.3%

F Fulham 43.1% @2.75

Our model call Leans Fulham, but only just A 43% call, draw at 26%.

★★★

Match result modelmarket

Sunderland 29% 2.60 Draw 26% 3.10 Fulham 43% 2.75

Goals modelmarket

Under 2.5 45% 1.81 Over 2.5 55% 2.10 Over 1.5 @1.33

Both teams to score modelmarket

No 38% 2.05 Yes 62% 1.75

30+ rated markets on this game, every leg tracked in public Build this bet →

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03Model vs the market

Our Model vs The Market

Where our probabilities disagree with bookmaker prices.

Market	Our model	Bookies imply	Difference
Sunderland Win	28.6%	41.7%	13 pts under
Over 2.5 Goals	54.8%	50.3%	5 pts over
Both Teams to Score	61.6%	57.1%	4 pts over

What this means: where our model sits above the bookies is where we see value they don't; below means the market already has it priced, no edge there.

Match Stats

Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.

Over 8.5 Match Corners 52% (model) Corners: Sunderland avg 4.3 for/3.0 against, Fulham avg 3.7 for/6.7 against → expected 8.8 match corners
Over 4.5 Match Cards 44% (model) Cards: Sunderland avg 2.7/game, Fulham avg 1.7/game → expected 4.3 match cards
Over 24.5 Match Fouls 53% (model) Fouls: Sunderland avg 11.7/game, Fulham avg 13.3/game → expected 25.0 match fouls
Over 22.5 Match Shots 44% (model) Shots: Sunderland avg 10.0/game, Fulham avg 12.0/game → expected 22.0 match shots

Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

01The read

Neighbours Collide: Sunderland and Fulham Separated by Fine Margins

The model makes Fulham 43% favourites here. Sunderland carry the 29% upset.

Fulham slight edge (43%) | Both teams to score (62%) | Predicted: 1-2 Confidence ★★★★★

Sunderland have taken 8 points from their last five; Fulham have taken 7 points from their last five. Form gives little away going into this Premier League tie.

Our verdict

Too close to call with any conviction. Fulham edge it at 43% but a draw (26%) is just as likely. One to tread carefully with.

Our pick

Our PickBoth teams to score at @1.75. Model probability 62% vs implied 57%. The market roughly agrees but our edge sits at 4pp.

Model62%

Market57%

▸ Form & goals

Sunderland's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf.

xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.

Sunderland create chances worth 1.3 a game (and give up chances worth 1.3), leaving them -0.1 a game on the balance. Fulham create 1.3 (giving up 1.3) for a balance of 0.0. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.

Goals are a tough one to call here. Sunderland are scoring 1.0 a game (1.0 of those at home) and Fulham manage 2.0 (2.0 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 55%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 62%. Two or more goals at @1.33 is a steadier alternative for accas.

Both teams score in 47% of Sunderland's home games and 53% of Fulham's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.

▸ Team news & context

Fulham have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (3.0 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.

In the last 10 meetings: Sunderland have won 3, Fulham 5, with 2 draws. These fixtures average 2.6 goals per game. 5 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Sunderland 1-3 Fulham, Fulham 1-0 Sunderland, Sunderland 2-3 Fulham, Fulham 1-1 Sunderland.

▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half

Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (7%) and 1-2 (7%).

First Half Result

Sunderland HT 3.10
Draw HT 2.10
Fulham HT 3.10

Team Intel

📊 Sunderland · xG

For: 1.25/g Against: 1.32/g

📊 Fulham · xG

For: 1.29/g Against: 1.30/g

💎 Underscoring xG by 0.59/g, value possible

Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market

The complete price grid across all bookmakers.

Sunderland vs Fulham Odds Comparison

Market	Selection	Odds	Probability	Bookmaker
Match Result	Sunderland Win	@2.60	28.6%	William Hill
Match Result	Draw	@3.10	26.3%	William Hill
Match Result	Fulham Win	@2.75	43.1%	William Hill
BTTS	Yes	@1.75	61.6%	William Hill
BTTS	No	@2.05	38.4%	William Hill
Goals	Over 2.5	@2.10	54.8%	Bet365
Goals	Under 2.5	@1.81	45.2%	Bet365
Goals	Over 1.5	@1.33	-	Bet365
Goals	Under 1.5	@3.40	-	Bet365
Goals	Over 3.5	@3.75	-	Bet365
Goals	Under 3.5	@1.30	-	Bet365

05The numbers

Recent Form

Sunderland

1L streak

Last 5 LWWDD

At home WDL

Clean sheets 29% BTTS 47% FTS 34%

Fulham

1W streak 2 unbeaten

Last 5 WDLLW

On the road DLD

Clean sheets 24% BTTS 53% FTS 29%

Sunderland vs Fulham Team Stats

Sunderland AFC

Position 13

Played 1

Record 0W-0D-1L

Goals F/A 1/2

Avg Goals Scored 1.00

Overall Form LWWDD

Home Form WDL

Home Record 0W-0D-0L

Fulham FC

Position 12

Played 1

Record 0W-0D-1L

Goals F/A 2/3

Avg Goals Scored 2.00

Overall Form WDLLW

Away Form DLD

Sunderland vs Fulham Head to Head

3 Home Wins 2 Draws 5 Away Wins

2.6 Avg Goals

6/10 BTTS

5/10 Over 2.5

2026-02-22 Sunderland 1-3 Fulham

2025-11-22 Sunderland 0-1 Fulham

2023-02-08 Sunderland 2-3 Fulham

2023-01-28 Sunderland 1-1 Fulham

2018-04-27 Sunderland 1-2 Fulham

2017-12-16 Sunderland 1-0 Fulham

2015-02-03 Sunderland 3-1 Fulham

2015-01-24 Sunderland 0-0 Fulham

2014-01-11 Sunderland 4-1 Fulham

2013-08-17 Sunderland 0-1 Fulham

Full Sunderland vs Fulham head-to-head history →

Most Likely Scorelines

MOST LIKELY 1-1 7.3%

1-2 7.3%

2-1 7.3%

2-2 7.3%

1-3 4.9%

2-3 4.9%

3-1 4.9%

3-2 4.9%

Full Market Breakdown

Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles 12 priced markets

Over 7.5 corners 84% @1.19 Unibet
Sunderland under 7.5 corners 83% @1.20 Unibet
Over 0.5 second half goals 81% @1.29 William Hill
Under 3.5 goals 81% @1.30 Pinnacle
Under 2 second half goals 81% @1.24 Marathon Bet
Under 12.5 corners 78% @1.29 Unibet
Fulham under 6.5 corners 78% @1.29 Unibet
Sunderland or Fulham (double chance) 77% @1.38 1xBet
Sunderland over 0.5 goals 77% @1.32 Pinnacle
Sunderland over 3.5 corners 77% @1.30 Unibet
Over 1.5 goals 76% @1.36 Betano
Fulham over 0.5 goals 76% @1.35 1xBet

Build a slip from these markets →

Build your own bet

Our Sunderland v Fulham builder

Our model's suggested selections (each one's a "leg"). Tap to build it, then place with your own bookmaker.

1 No Draw 73% @ 1.37
2 Over 1.5 Goals 74% @ 1.34

@1.84 £10 returns £18.41

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The record

70%

verified hit rate across 824 graded picks, every one logged before kick-off.

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Sunderland vs Fulham: FAQs

Who will win Sunderland vs Fulham?

Our model makes Fulham the favourite with a 43.1% win probability, based on form, head-to-head record and expected goals.

What are the best odds for Sunderland vs Fulham?

Best available odds: Sunderland @ 2.60, Draw @ 3.10, Fulham @ 2.75. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.

What time does Sunderland vs Fulham kick off?

Sunderland vs Fulham kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 14:00 in the Premier League.

Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Fulham?

Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 61.6% probability.

Sunderland vs Fulham prediction and betting tips?

Our top prediction is Fulham to win. We also rate over/under goals, BTTS, correct score and double chance, every pick is tracked and verified against real outcomes.