1070 picks graded in public, misses included.
The record
The model's read
Newcastle47%Draw25%Aston Villa28%
The desk has not written a card on this game. FBB Pro is the singles we'd pick
ourselves, each with the desk's research behind it. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org
The read
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Newcastle (9th, 8 pts) host Aston Villa (16th, 4 pts) in the Premier League. Both sides will be targeting three points here.
Too close to call with any conviction. Newcastle edge it at 47% but a draw (25%) is just as likely. One to tread carefully with.
The model says
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The call on this gameOver 1.5
The best price1.20Bet365
Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.
Every priced market
13 markets
Under 2 first half goalsMarathon Bet1.21
Newcastle or Aston Villa (double chance)William Hill1.29
Aston Villa under 2 goalsMarathon Bet1.22
Over 2 goalsPinnacle1.26
Over 0.5 first half goalsBetVictor1.29
Under 2.5 second half goalsBet3651.28
Newcastle under 2.5 goalsBet3651.25
Aston Villa over 0.5 goalsBet3651.28
Under 4 goalsPinnacle1.28
Over 1 second half goalsMarathon Bet1.28
Newcastle over 1 goalsMarathon Bet1.28
Newcastle or Draw (double chance)William Hill1.36
Both teams to score: YesWilliam Hill1.55
The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
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Away win3.10 to 3.20drifting, longer
No draw1.25 to 1.29drifting, longer
Under 2.5 goals2.38 to 2.45drifting, longer
Home or draw1.33 to 1.36drifting, longer
The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Newcastle v Aston Villa: the numbers
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NewcastleAston Villa9League position162-2-1League record, won-drawn-lost1-1-39-9Goals for and against4-98Points41-2-0Home record v away record1-1-11.80Scored a game0.801.80Conceded a game1.80com.footballodds.service.XgService$TeamXg@8df20e8xG forcom.footballodds.service.XgService$TeamXg@5b03474d21%Clean sheets24%24%Failed to score26%66%Both teams scored58%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Newcastle v Aston Villa: head to head
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Newcastle won 52 drawsAston Villa won 3
3.7 goals a game5/10 both scored8/10 over 2.5
14 Feb 2026Aston Villa v Newcastle1-3
25 Jan 2026Newcastle v Aston Villa0-2
16 Aug 2025Aston Villa v Newcastle0-0
19 Apr 2025Aston Villa v Newcastle4-1
26 Dec 2024Newcastle v Aston Villa3-0
30 Jan 2024Aston Villa v Newcastle1-3
12 Aug 2023Newcastle v Aston Villa5-1
23 Jul 2023Newcastle v Aston Villa3-3
15 Apr 2023Aston Villa v Newcastle3-0
29 Oct 2022Newcastle v Aston Villa4-0
Likely scorelines
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2-110%3-16%3-04%3-24%4-13%4-02%
From each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.
Newcastle vs Aston Villa: FAQs
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Newcastle vs Aston Villa prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Over 1.5 at 1.20. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Newcastle vs Aston Villa kick off?
Newcastle vs Aston Villa kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 17:30 UK time (Premier League).
What are the best odds for Newcastle vs Aston Villa?
The best prices across the books we track: Newcastle 2.10, the draw 3.70, Aston Villa 3.25. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
What form are Newcastle and Aston Villa in?
Newcastle have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 6 (W L W D W W, newest first), scoring 11 and conceding 9. Aston Villa have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 6 (W W L W D L, newest first), scoring 10 and conceding 8.
What is the head to head between Newcastle and Aston Villa?
In their last 10 meetings on our record, Newcastle won 5, Aston Villa won 3 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, 14 Feb 2026, finished Aston Villa 1-3 Newcastle.
Recent singles, graded
Graded in public
Sat 3 OctPro singleSouthend v AFC Fylde1.53Over 2.5 goals (3-1) Landed
Sat 3 OctPro singleAccrington ST v Cheltenham1.75Over 2.5 goals (2-0) Lost
Wed 30 SepPro singleTamworth v Sutton Utd1.70Over 2.5 goals (2-0) Lost
Tue 29 SepPro singleYeovil Town v Worthing1.50Over 2.5 goals (1-1) Lost
Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
Pro
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is
missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and
the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.
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