New York City FC vs New England Revolution Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
New York City FC have lost their last two; New England Revolution have taken 7 points from their last five. Form gives little away going into this MLS tie.
N. Fernández Mercau has been New York City FC's spearhead, with 13 goals and 3 assists in 20 appearances, averaging 1.55 shots on target per game. Carles Gil has been New England Revolution's main threat, with 7 goals and 3 assists in 21 appearances, averaging 0.86 shots on target per game.
Both sets of fans can dream here: this is two in-form sides on a collision course. New York City FC come in on a L-L-D-W-W run, New England Revolution have gone W-L-L-D-W, and neither will fear the other. When form meets form like this, something has to give, and whichever way it breaks, it should be a proper occasion. New York City FC's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
New York City FC create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them -0.2 a game on the balance. New England Revolution create 1.2 (giving up 1.4) for a balance of -0.2. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
New York City FC average 1.4 goals per game and New England Revolution manage 1.3. Combined that's just 2.7. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
In the last 10 meetings: New York City FC have won 5, New England Revolution 2, with 3 draws. These fixtures average 2.2 goals per game. 3 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: New England Revolution 2-0 New York City FC, New York City FC 2-1 New England Revolution, New England Revolution 1-1 New York City FC.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | New York City FC Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | New England Revolution Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Full New York City FC vs New England Revolution head-to-head history →
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
New York City FC vs New England Revolution kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 00:30 in the MLS.