Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Nashville SC have won three of their last five; Chicago Fire have won three straight. Form gives little away going into this MLS tie.
H. Mukhtar has been Nashville SC's spearhead, with 10 goals and 6 assists in 22 appearances, averaging 1.18 shots on target per game. H. Cuypers has been Chicago Fire's main threat, with 13 goals and 0 assists in 11 appearances, averaging 2.00 shots on target per game.
Both sets of fans can dream here: this is two in-form sides on a collision course. Nashville SC come in on a W-W-D-L-W run, Chicago Fire have gone W-W-W-L-L, and neither will fear the other. When form meets form like this, something has to give, and whichever way it breaks, it should be a proper occasion. Nashville SC's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf. Chicago Fire could be in for a similar cool-off. 2.0 goals a game against chance quality worth only 1.8. Hot finishing has been covering for the fact they aren't creating that much.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Nashville SC create chances worth 1.8 a game (and give up chances worth 1.7), leaving them +0.1 a game on the balance. Chicago Fire create 1.8 (giving up 1.3) for a balance of +0.5. On the quality of chances, Chicago Fire look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Chicago Fire are also scoring more than their chances suggest (2.0 goals vs chance quality of 1.8). Both runs could cool off at once.
Nashville SC average 1.6 goals per game and Chicago Fire manage 2.0. Combined that's just 3.6. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Nashville SC and Chicago Fire together create chances worth 3.6 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
Chicago Fire have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (1.8 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
In the last 10 meetings: Nashville SC have won 6, Chicago Fire 2, with 2 draws. These fixtures average 2.8 goals per game. 4 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Chicago Fire 1-0 Nashville SC, Chicago Fire 0-2 Nashville SC, Nashville SC 7-2 Chicago Fire.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Nashville SC Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Chicago Fire Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 02:30 in the MLS.