Bet Builder · Fixture Tip

Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire Bet Builder Tip

Sunday 20 September 2026, 02:30 · MLS

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

Our Model's Picks

Live bookie odds · verified record coming soon

Our 2-Leg Bet Builder

84.4% chance all legs land · model probability on each rail

Combined fair odds @1.18

  • Nashville SC or draw

    ≈1.11

    Probability: 90.0% · Fair odds: 1.11

    API-Football's own advice for this game is double chance, Nashville SC or draw (90%). Double chance is our strongest verified market.

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    ≈1.07

    Probability: 93.8% · Fair odds: 1.07

    API-Football goals model: expected goals 3.50 + 2.50 → Over 2.5 Goals at 94%.

Built from the bookmakers' fair odds for Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire, 84.4% combined. Legs treated as independent, so treat this as a guide.

More to Build With

Extra markets · not tracked

Player Form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • H. Cuypers Chicago Fire
    Shots on Target 1+ 85%

    H. Cuypers averages 2.00 SoT/match (11 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 1.89, P(1+)=85% P(2+)=56%

  • S. Surridge Nashville SC
    Shots on Target 1+ 76%

    S. Surridge averages 1.31 SoT/match (16 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 1.44, P(1+)=76% P(2+)=42%

  • H. Cuypers Chicago Fire
    Anytime Scorer 76%

    H. Cuypers on 1.18 goals/match (11 apps), away vs opp conceding 1.80 goals/game → lambda 1.44, P(anytime scorer)=76%

  • H. Mukhtar Nashville SC
    Shots on Target 1+ 73%

    H. Mukhtar averages 1.18 SoT/match (22 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 1.30, P(1+)=73% P(2+)=37%

  • S. Surridge Nashville SC
    Anytime Scorer 70%

    S. Surridge on 0.81 goals/match (16 apps), home vs opp conceding 1.80 goals/game → lambda 1.21, P(anytime scorer)=70%

  • H. Cuypers Chicago Fire
    Shots on Target 2+ 56%

    H. Cuypers averages 2.00 SoT/match (11 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 1.89, P(1+)=85% P(2+)=56%

  • P. Zinckernagel Chicago Fire
    Shots on Target 1+ 56%

    P. Zinckernagel averages 0.90 SoT/match (20 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.81, P(1+)=56% P(2+)=19%

  • H. Mukhtar Nashville SC
    Anytime Scorer 47%

    H. Mukhtar on 0.45 goals/match (22 apps), home vs opp conceding 1.80 goals/game → lambda 0.64, P(anytime scorer)=47%

  • J. Bamba Chicago Fire
    Shots on Target 1+ 46%

    J. Bamba averages 0.69 SoT/match (16 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.62, P(1+)=46% P(2+)=13%

  • C. Espinoza Nashville SC
    Shots on Target 1+ 46%

    C. Espinoza averages 0.56 SoT/match (18 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.61, P(1+)=46% P(2+)=13%

  • M. Haile-Selassie Chicago Fire
    Shots on Target 1+ 45%

    M. Haile-Selassie averages 0.67 SoT/match (21 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.60, P(1+)=45% P(2+)=12%

  • W. Madrigal Nashville SC
    Shots on Target 1+ 44%

    W. Madrigal averages 0.53 SoT/match (15 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.59, P(1+)=44% P(2+)=12%

  • S. Surridge Nashville SC
    Shots on Target 2+ 42%

    S. Surridge averages 1.31 SoT/match (16 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 1.44, P(1+)=76% P(2+)=42%

  • C. Espinoza Nashville SC
    Anytime Assist 39%

    C. Espinoza on 0.50 assists/match (18 apps, 46 key passes), match xG 2.60 → lambda 0.50, P(assist)=39%

  • W. Madrigal Nashville SC
    Anytime Scorer 38%

    W. Madrigal on 0.33 goals/match (15 apps), home vs opp conceding 1.80 goals/game → lambda 0.47, P(anytime scorer)=38%

  • H. Mukhtar Nashville SC
    Shots on Target 2+ 37%

    H. Mukhtar averages 1.18 SoT/match (22 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 1.30, P(1+)=73% P(2+)=37%

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match Stats

Informational only, not part of our tracked record. These corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.

  • Over 8.5 Match Corners, 21% Corners: Nashville SC avg 4.3 for/2.3 against, Chicago Fire avg 2.0 for/4.3 against → expected 6.5 match corners
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards, 50% Cards: Nashville SC avg 1.0/game, Chicago Fire avg 2.7/game → expected 3.7 match cards
  • Over 22.5 Match Fouls, 42% Fouls: Nashville SC avg 9.7/game, Chicago Fire avg 12.0/game → expected 21.7 match fouls
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots, 21% Shots: Nashville SC avg 7.7/game, Chicago Fire avg 11.3/game → expected 19.0 match shots

How is this built?

This bet builder is auto-generated by our football model across hundreds of weekly picks. Every leg is a team market (match result, goals, BTTS). Each leg shows the model's probability alongside the fair odds, so you can see exactly where we think the edge is. We don't cherry-pick wins; we log every prediction we publish, win or lose. Player markets shown above are informational only and never count toward that record. This is a league we don't have a proven record on yet, so these legs are the model's read on the bookies' odds, not yet part of our verified record.

View our full verified track record →  |  Full match preview →

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