San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC Predictions & Odds
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A MLS meeting between San Jose Earthquakes (10th, 41 pts) and Los Angeles FC (3rd, 60 pts). Two sides with their own objectives and plenty to play for.
P. Judd has been San Jose Earthquakes's spearhead, with 11 goals and 2 assists in 21 appearances, averaging 1.33 shots on target per game. D. Bouanga has been Los Angeles FC's main threat, with 11 goals and 4 assists in 22 appearances, averaging 1.50 shots on target per game.
Neither side arrives in vintage form. San Jose Earthquakes have gone L-L-L-D-L, Los Angeles FC's D-D-L-L-D-W reads much the same, but that's exactly the kind of game where one moment settles it and a whole fanbase goes home happy. Tight, tense, and there for the taking for whoever holds their nerve.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
San Jose Earthquakes create chances worth 1.8 a game (and give up chances worth 1.5), leaving them +0.3 a game on the balance. Los Angeles FC create 2.1 (giving up 1.2) for a balance of +1.0. On the quality of chances, Los Angeles FC look the stronger side. they create more and give up less.
San Jose Earthquakes average 1.8 goals per game and Los Angeles FC manage 2.0. Combined that's just 3.8. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles FC together create chances worth 3.9 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
San Jose Earthquakes are all-out attack: 1.8 goals a game, but they leak 1.9 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Los Angeles FC, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. Los Angeles FC have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (1.2 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
In the last 9 meetings: San Jose Earthquakes have won 2, Los Angeles FC 5, with 2 draws. These fixtures average 4.3 goals per game. 7 of the last 9 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: Los Angeles FC 1-4 San Jose Earthquakes, San Jose Earthquakes 2-4 Los Angeles FC, Los Angeles FC 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | San Jose Earthquakes Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Los Angeles FC Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Full San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC head-to-head history →
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 00:30 in the MLS.