Mirassol vs Vitoria Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
A quality mismatch? Mirassol (4th, 67 pts) entertain Vitoria (15th, 45 pts). The table positions tell a clear story, but football has a habit of humbling the favourites.
Eduardo has been Mirassol's spearhead, with 3 goals and 0 assists in 16 appearances, averaging 0.38 shots on target per game. Rene has been Vitoria's main threat, with 5 goals and 1 assists in 17 appearances, averaging 1.18 shots on target per game.
Neither side arrives in vintage form. Mirassol have gone L-L-W-D-W, Vitoria's W-L-L-L-L reads much the same, but that's exactly the kind of game where one moment settles it and a whole fanbase goes home happy. Tight, tense, and there for the taking for whoever holds their nerve.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Mirassol create chances worth 1.5 a game (and give up chances worth 1.2), leaving them +0.3 a game on the balance. Vitoria create 1.2 (giving up 1.1) for a balance of +0.1. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
Mirassol average 1.7 goals per game and Vitoria manage 0.9. Combined that's just 2.6. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
In the last 6 meetings: Mirassol have won 1, Vitoria 3, with 2 draws. These fixtures average 1.7 goals per game. 1 of the last 6 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Vitoria 1-0 Mirassol, Vitoria 2-0 Mirassol, Mirassol 1-1 Vitoria.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Mirassol Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Vitoria Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Mirassol vs Vitoria kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 21:00 in the Brasileirão Série A.