Liverpool vs Fulham Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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A Premier League clash between two sides separated by just 2 places in the table. Liverpool (10th, 1 pts) and Fulham (12th, 0 pts) both have plenty to play for.
Season-long, Liverpool average 1.0 points per game compared to Fulham's 0.0. that gap in consistency is hard to ignore. Both sides are prolific in front of goal. Liverpool average 2.0 per game and Fulham chip in with 2.0. Expect an open, attacking contest.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Liverpool create chances worth 1.5 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them +0.1 a game on the balance. Fulham create 1.3 (giving up 1.3) for a balance of 0.0. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
Goals look likely here. Liverpool average 2.0 per game (2.0 at home) and Fulham chip in with 2.0 (2.0 away). Defensively, Liverpool concede 2.0 at home and Fulham leak 3.0 on the road. We make it 75% for three or more goals. One of the stronger cases for goals today. There's a good chance both teams find the net, and we make it 72%. Liverpool score in 89% of their games and Fulham in 71%, and neither back line is tight enough to bank on a clean sheet. Their past meetings back this up. These two average 3.6 goals when they meet, with 7 of the last 10 producing three or more.
Both teams scoring is the pattern. It happens in 68% of Liverpool's home games and 53% of Fulham's away matches.
Neither side has much to play for in the grand scheme. no European places within reach and relegation isn't a concern. That can make for an unpredictable game with less pressure on both sides.
Liverpool are all-out attack: 2.0 goals a game, but they leak 2.0 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Fulham, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. Fulham have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (3.0 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
In the last 10 meetings: Liverpool have won 5, Fulham 1, with 4 draws. These fixtures average 3.6 goals per game. 7 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: Liverpool 2-0 Fulham, Fulham 2-2 Liverpool, Fulham 3-2 Liverpool, Liverpool 2-2 Fulham.
Most likely scorelines: 2-1 (7%) and 2-2 (7%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Liverpool Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Fulham Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Liverpool vs Fulham kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 in the Premier League.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 71.6% probability.