Player Form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
T
T. Lehne Olsen
1+ Shots on Target
67% (model)
T. Lehne Olsen averages 1.00 SoT/match (11 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
M
M. Karlsbakk
1+ Shots on Target
59% (model)
M. Karlsbakk averages 0.80 SoT/match (15 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
S
S. Drammeh
1+ Shots on Target
52% (model)
S. Drammeh averages 0.67 SoT/match (12 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
L
L. Ranger
1+ Shots on Target
42% (model)
L. Ranger averages 0.50 SoT/match (16 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
O
O. Øhlenschlæger
1+ Shots on Target
40% (model)
O. Øhlenschlæger averages 0.56 SoT/match (16 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match Stats
Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
-
Over 10.5 Match Corners
50% (model)
Corners: Lillestrom avg 5.7 for/6.1 against, Fredrikstad avg 4.3 for/5.4 against → expected 10.7 match corners
-
Over 3.5 Match Cards
52% (model)
Cards: Lillestrom avg 2.3/game, Fredrikstad avg 1.4/game → expected 3.8 match cards
-
Over 20.5 Match Fouls
43% (model)
Fouls: Lillestrom avg 11.2/game, Fredrikstad avg 8.7/game → expected 19.9 match fouls
-
Over 22.5 Match Shots
47% (model)
Shots: Lillestrom avg 14.5/game, Fredrikstad avg 7.8/game → expected 22.3 match shots
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Key Stats
🔥
Fredrikstad are on a 3-game winning streak
01The read
Lillestrom Host Fredrikstad: Our Prediction
Lillestrom 52%, the draw 22%, Fredrikstad 25%. That's the shape of this one.
Lillestrom have lost three of their last five; Fredrikstad have won three straight. The visitors bring the sharper form into this Eliteserien tie.
Vá has been Lillestrom's spearhead, with 4 goals and 5 assists in 17 appearances, averaging 0.41 shots on target per game. O. Øhlenschlæger has been Fredrikstad's main threat, with 3 goals and 1 assists in 16 appearances, averaging 0.56 shots on target per game.
Our pick
Tracking this league
Our PickThree or more goals at @1.67. Model probability 60% vs implied 60%. Priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Key men
V
Vá
Lillestrom · Attacker
4 goals · 5 assists in 17 apps
0.4 shots on target a game
O
O. Øhlenschlæger
Fredrikstad · Midfielder
3 goals · 1 assist in 16 apps
0.6 shots on target a game
Key facts
😶
Blunt Attack
Lillestrom fail to score in 42% of their games. Creating chances has been a real problem
🤝
Draw Merchants
3 draws from 8 meetings. Stalemates are the pattern here
🔥
Travelling Hot
Fredrikstad bring a 3-game winning run into this one
🎯
Goals Lean
We make it 60% for three or more goals in this one
▸ Form & goals
Lillestrom average 1.2 goals per game and Fredrikstad manage 1.3. Combined that's just 2.5. Even so, we make it 60% for three or more. The model sees more goals here than the season averages suggest. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 52%.
▸ Team news & context
In the last 8 meetings: Lillestrom have won 2, Fredrikstad 3, with 3 draws. These fixtures average 2.5 goals per game. 4 of the last 8 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Fredrikstad 0-2 Lillestrom, Lillestrom 2-2 Fredrikstad, Lillestrom 1-1 Fredrikstad.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
First Half Result
-
Lillestrom HT
2.05
-
Draw HT
2.38
-
Fredrikstad HT
5.00
Latest News
Loading latest news...
Team Intel
📊 Fredrikstad · xG
For: 1.12/g
Against: 1.59/g
Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Lillestrom Win |
@1.62
|
51.6% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@3.80
|
21.6% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Fredrikstad Win |
@4.75
|
25.0% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.67
|
51.5% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
No |
@2.10
|
48.5% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.67
|
60.3% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@2.24
|
39.7% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.20
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@4.47
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@2.62
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.50
|
- |
Bet365 |
05The numbers
Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad Team Stats
Lillestrom
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Fredrikstad
Position
8
Played
30
Record
11W-9D-10L
Goals F/A
38/35
Avg Goals Scored
1.30
Points
42
Overall Form
WWWLL
Away Form
WLLDL
Away Record
4W-5D-6L
Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad Head to Head
2 Home Wins
3 Draws
3 Away Wins
2.5
Avg Goals
5/8
BTTS
4/8
Over 2.5
2026-07-11
Lillestrom 2-0 Fredrikstad
2026-01-31
Lillestrom 2-2 Fredrikstad
2025-05-21
Lillestrom 1-1 Fredrikstad
2025-03-22
Lillestrom 0-1 Fredrikstad
2024-10-20
Lillestrom 1-2 Fredrikstad
2024-05-20
Lillestrom 0-3 Fredrikstad
2024-01-27
Lillestrom 2-1 Fredrikstad
2022-03-04
Lillestrom 1-1 Fredrikstad
Full Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad head-to-head history →
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
2-1
7.3%
3-1
2.9%
3-2
2.1%
3-0
2.0%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles 12 priced markets
-
Lillestrom over 1 goals
85%
@1.18
Marathon Bet
-
Lillestrom or Fredrikstad (double chance)
83%
@1.25
William Hill
-
Under 4 goals
83%
@1.21
Marathon Bet
-
Under 2.5 second half goals
82%
@1.30
Betano
-
Under 13.5 corners
82%
@1.22
Unibet
-
Over 2 goals
81%
@1.24
Marathon Bet
-
Over 0.5 first half goals
78%
@1.35
Betano
-
Over 1 second half goals
78%
@1.28
Marathon Bet
-
Over 8.5 corners
78%
@1.30
Unibet
-
Fredrikstad under 1.5 goals
77%
@1.35
Betano
-
Lillestrom under 2.5 goals
74%
@1.39
Betano
-
Fredrikstad over 0.5 goals
70%
@1.47
Pinnacle
Build a slip from these markets →