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Where our probabilities disagree with bookmaker prices.
| Market | Our model | Bookies imply | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gillingham Win | 43.7% | 50.8% | 7 pts under |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48.0% | 53.2% | 5 pts under |
What this means: where our model sits above the bookies is where we see value they don't; below means the market already has it priced, no edge there.
Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
The key duel: Gillingham's attack against Walsall's back line.
A League Two fixture between Gillingham and Walsall. Here's what the numbers and form tell us ahead of kick-off.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Gillingham will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Walsall travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Too close to call with any conviction. Gillingham edge it at 44% but a draw (28%) is just as likely. One to tread carefully with.
The bookmakers have priced this match fairly. Our model doesn't see a big edge in the match result market.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Gillingham average 1.2 goals per game and Walsall manage 1.0. Combined that's just 2.2. We make it only 48% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Both teams scoring is the pattern. It happens in 65% of Gillingham's home games and 57% of Walsall's away matches.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Gillingham Win | @2.25 | 43.7% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.20 | 27.6% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Walsall Win | @3.10 | 28.7% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @2.00 | 48.0% | William Hill |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @1.75 | 52.0% | William Hill |
Our model makes Gillingham the favourite with a 43.7% win probability, based on form, head-to-head record and expected goals.
Best available odds: Gillingham @ 2.25, Draw @ 3.20, Walsall @ 3.10. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Gillingham vs Walsall kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 in the League Two.
Our top prediction is Gillingham to win. We also rate over/under goals, BTTS, correct score and double chance, every pick is tracked and verified against real outcomes.