Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Predictions & Odds
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A Premier League meeting between Crystal Palace (20th, 0 pts) and Ipswich (8th, 3 pts). Two sides with their own objectives and plenty to play for.
Crucially, Crystal Palace are in strong home form while Ipswich are struggling away from home. the venue factor amplifies the form gap. Season-long, Ipswich average 3.0 points per game compared to Crystal Palace's 0.0. that gap in consistency is hard to ignore. Interestingly, Crystal Palace look better than their results show. The quality of chances they create is worth 1.5 a game, but they're only converting 0.5 goals. They're creating more than the scoreline shows and look due a few more goals. The gap in chance quality is clear: Ipswich come out at +0.8 a game (chances they create minus chances they give up) compared to +0.0. that's a real edge in the quality of chances.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Crystal Palace create chances worth 1.5 a game (and give up chances worth 1.5), leaving them 0.0 a game on the balance. Ipswich create 1.9 (giving up 1.1) for a balance of +0.8. On the quality of chances, Ipswich look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Crystal Palace should be scoring more. Their chances are worth 1.5 a game but they're only getting 0.5 goals. When the finishing clicks, they'll be a handful.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Crystal Palace are scoring 0.5 a game (1.0 of those at home) and Ipswich manage 2.0 (2.0 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 60%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 52%. The chance-quality data backs the goals case. Crystal Palace create chances worth 1.5 a game and Ipswich 1.9. Combined, that's 3.4 a game from open play alone.
Both teams score in 53% of Crystal Palace's home games and 61% of Ipswich's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Crystal Palace need points desperately. Sitting 20th in the table, every match feels like a cup final now.
Ipswich have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (1.0 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
In the last 9 meetings: Crystal Palace have won 7, Ipswich 1, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 2.6 goals per game. 4 of the last 9 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Crystal Palace 1-0 Ipswich, Ipswich 0-1 Crystal Palace, Crystal Palace 4-2 Ipswich, Ipswich 0-1 Crystal Palace.
Most likely scorelines: 0-3 (10%) and 1-2 (9%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Crystal Palace Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Ipswich Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Crystal Palace vs Ipswich kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 in the Premier League.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 51.6% probability.