Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Chicago Fire have won three straight; New England Revolution have taken 7 points from their last five. Form gives little away going into this MLS tie.
H. Cuypers has been Chicago Fire's spearhead, with 13 goals and 0 assists in 11 appearances, averaging 2.00 shots on target per game. Carles Gil has been New England Revolution's main threat, with 7 goals and 3 assists in 21 appearances, averaging 0.86 shots on target per game.
Both sets of fans can dream here: this is two in-form sides on a collision course. Chicago Fire come in on a W-W-W-L-L run, New England Revolution have gone W-L-L-D-W, and neither will fear the other. When form meets form like this, something has to give, and whichever way it breaks, it should be a proper occasion. Chicago Fire's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf. One thing to keep in mind about Chicago Fire. They're scoring 2.0 goals per game but the quality of chances they create only works out at 1.8. Scoring that much more than the chances suggest (+0.5), that kind of hot finishing usually cools off, so their results may be flattering their actual play.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Chicago Fire create chances worth 1.8 a game (and give up chances worth 1.3), leaving them +0.5 a game on the balance. New England Revolution create 1.2 (giving up 1.4) for a balance of -0.2. The underlying numbers clearly favour Chicago Fire. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones. Chicago Fire are scoring 2.0 goals a game off chances worth just 1.8. That's +0.5 more than the chances suggest: finishing hot. History says this kind of run usually cools off.
Chicago Fire average 2.0 goals per game and New England Revolution manage 1.3. Combined that's just 3.3. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Chicago Fire and New England Revolution together create chances worth 3.0 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
Chicago Fire are all-out attack: 2.0 goals a game, but they leak 1.8 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at New England Revolution, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
In the last 10 meetings: Chicago Fire have won 2, New England Revolution 1, with 7 draws. These fixtures average 3.2 goals per game. 6 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: New England Revolution 2-2 Chicago Fire, Chicago Fire 3-2 New England Revolution, New England Revolution 1-3 Chicago Fire.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Chicago Fire Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | New England Revolution Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Full Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution head-to-head history →
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 22:30 in the MLS.