Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Columbus Crew have lost their last two; New York Red Bulls have lost four of their last six. Neither side arrives in rhythm for this MLS tie.
D. Rossi has been Columbus Crew's spearhead, with 6 goals and 1 assists in 15 appearances, averaging 0.80 shots on target per game. J. Hall has been New York Red Bulls's main threat, with 9 goals and 3 assists in 21 appearances, averaging 0.95 shots on target per game.
Both sets of fans can dream here: this is two in-form sides on a collision course. Columbus Crew come in on a L-L-D-W-L run, New York Red Bulls have gone D-L-L-W-L-L, and neither will fear the other. When form meets form like this, something has to give, and whichever way it breaks, it should be a proper occasion. Columbus Crew's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf. Columbus Crew have been even sharper lately. The chances they create are worth 2.0 a game over their last 5 compared to a season average of 1.5. They're creating more as the season goes on. A concern for New York Red Bulls: they're giving up chances worth 2.0 a game over their last 5 (vs 1.6 for the season). The defence is creaking.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Columbus Crew create chances worth 1.5 a game (and give up chances worth 1.3), leaving them +0.2 a game on the balance. New York Red Bulls create 1.2 (giving up 1.6) for a balance of -0.4. The underlying numbers clearly favour Columbus Crew. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones. Columbus Crew are trending upwards. Their chances are worth 2.0 a game over the last 5 vs 1.5 for the season. They're in a real attacking groove. New York Red Bulls's defence is giving up chances. Worth 2.0 a game over their last 5 vs 1.6 for the season. They're becoming easier to break down.
Columbus Crew average 1.6 goals per game and New York Red Bulls manage 1.4. Combined that's just 3.0. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Columbus Crew Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | New York Red Bulls Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 00:30 in the MLS.