Bet Builder · Fixture Tip

Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution Bet Builder Tip

Sunday 13 September 2026, 22:30 · MLS

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

Our Model's Picks

Live bookie odds · verified record coming soon

Our 2-Leg Bet Builder

78.8% chance all legs land · model probability on each rail

Combined fair odds @1.27
  • Chicago Fire or draw

    ≈1.11

    Probability: 90.0% · Fair odds: 1.11

    API-Football's own advice for this game is double chance, Chicago Fire or draw (90%). Double chance is our strongest verified market.

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    ≈1.14

    Probability: 87.5% · Fair odds: 1.14

    API-Football goals model: expected goals 2.50 + 2.50 → Over 2.5 Goals at 88%.

Built from the bookmakers' fair odds for Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution, 78.8% combined. Legs treated as independent, so treat this as a guide.

More to Build With

Extra markets · not tracked

Player Form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • P. Zinckernagel Chicago Fire
    Shots on Target 1+ 60%

    P. Zinckernagel averages 0.84 SoT/match (19 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.93, P(1+)=60% P(2+)=24%

  • Carles Gil New England Revolution
    Shots on Target 1+ 54%

    Carles Gil averages 0.86 SoT/match (21 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.77, P(1+)=54% P(2+)=18%

  • P. Miller New England Revolution
    Shots on Target 1+ 53%

    P. Miller averages 0.84 SoT/match (19 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.76, P(1+)=53% P(2+)=18%

  • D. Turgeman New England Revolution
    Shots on Target 1+ 52%

    D. Turgeman averages 0.81 SoT/match (21 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.73, P(1+)=52% P(2+)=17%

  • M. Haile-Selassie Chicago Fire
    Shots on Target 1+ 48%

    M. Haile-Selassie averages 0.60 SoT/match (20 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.66, P(1+)=48% P(2+)=14%

  • J. Bamba Chicago Fire
    Shots on Target 1+ 48%

    J. Bamba averages 0.60 SoT/match (15 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.66, P(1+)=48% P(2+)=14%

  • B. Raines New England Revolution
    To Be Carded 43%

    B. Raines (Midfielder) on 0.47 yellows/match (19 apps), pos-mult 1.20 → lambda 0.57, P(carded)=43%

  • L. Langoni New England Revolution
    Shots on Target 1+ 42%

    L. Langoni averages 0.60 SoT/match (15 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.54, P(1+)=42% P(2+)=10%

  • R. Lod Chicago Fire
    Shots on Target 1+ 41%

    R. Lod averages 0.47 SoT/match (19 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.52, P(1+)=41% P(2+)=10%

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match Stats

Informational only, not part of our tracked record. These corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.

  • Over 9.5 Match Corners, 43% Corners: Chicago Fire avg 2.0 for/4.3 against, New England Revolution avg 6.1 for/5.9 against → expected 9.2 match corners
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards, 55% Cards: Chicago Fire avg 2.7/game, New England Revolution avg 1.3/game → expected 3.9 match cards
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls, 41% Fouls: Chicago Fire avg 12.0/game, New England Revolution avg 7.6/game → expected 19.6 match fouls
  • Over 24.5 Match Shots, 57% Shots: Chicago Fire avg 11.3/game, New England Revolution avg 14.2/game → expected 25.5 match shots

How is this built?

This bet builder is auto-generated by our football model across hundreds of weekly picks. Every leg is a team market (match result, goals, BTTS). Each leg shows the model's probability alongside the fair odds, so you can see exactly where we think the edge is. We don't cherry-pick wins; we log every prediction we publish, win or lose. Player markets shown above are informational only and never count toward that record. This is a league we don't have a proven record on yet, so these legs are the model's read on the bookies' odds, not yet part of our verified record.

View our full verified track record →  |  Full match preview →