Chelsea vs Hull City Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Neck and neck in the Premier League standings. Chelsea (7th, 3 pts) host Hull City (5th, 3 pts) in a contest that promises intensity.
Both sides are prolific in front of goal. Chelsea average 3.0 per game and Hull City chip in with 2.0. Expect an open, attacking contest.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Chelsea create chances worth 1.4 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them 0.0 a game on the balance. Hull City create 1.2 (giving up 1.2) for a balance of 0.0. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath. A worry for Chelsea: the chances they're creating lately are worth 1.0 a game, well below their 1.4 season figure. The attacking output has dipped.
Goals look likely here. Chelsea average 3.0 per game (3.0 at home) and Hull City chip in with 2.0 (2.0 away). Defensively, Chelsea concede 2.0 at home and Hull City leak 0.8 on the road. We make it 63% for three or more goals. The numbers back it without being overwhelming. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 55%.
Both teams scoring is the pattern. It happens in 58% of Chelsea's home games and 65% of Hull City's away matches.
Both sides are in the hunt for a top-four finish. Chelsea (7th) and Hull City (5th) know this is must-win territory. A defeat here would be a real blow to their European hopes.
Chelsea are all-out attack: 3.0 goals a game, but they leak 2.0 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Hull City, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. Hull City are similarly well-balanced. 2.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. This has the makings of a tight, tactical game between two organised sides.
In the last 9 meetings: Chelsea have won 9, Hull City 0, with 0 draws. These fixtures average 2.9 goals per game. 4 of the last 9 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Hull City 0-4 Chelsea, Hull City 1-2 Chelsea, Chelsea 4-0 Hull City, Chelsea 2-0 Hull City.
Most likely scorelines: 1-2 (8%) and 2-1 (7%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Chelsea Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Hull City Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Chelsea vs Hull City kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 in the Premier League.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 55.1% probability.