Charlton vs Portsmouth Predictions & Odds
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Charlton (3rd, 6 pts) host Portsmouth (10th, 3 pts) in the Championship. Both sides will be targeting three points here.
Portsmouth are no pushovers away from home. W1 D0 L0 from 1 away trips, scoring 3.0 per game on the road. Charlton (W1 D0 L0 at home) can't afford to take this lightly. Both sides are prolific in front of goal. Charlton average 2.0 per game and Portsmouth chip in with 2.0. Expect an open, attacking contest.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Charlton create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.6), leaving them -0.4 a game on the balance. Portsmouth create 1.1 (giving up 1.4) for a balance of -0.4. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
Goals look likely here. Charlton average 2.0 per game (2.0 at home) and Portsmouth chip in with 2.0 (3.0 away). Defensively, Charlton concede 1.0 at home and Portsmouth leak 1.0 on the road. We make it 64% for three or more goals. The numbers back it without being overwhelming. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 56%. Their past meetings back this up. These two average 3.1 goals when they meet, with 8 of the last 10 producing three or more. A word of caution on the chances: even though the goals numbers point up, the combined chance quality is only worth 2.3 a game. These sides aren't creating as much as their goal tallies suggest. Hot finishing has flattered the numbers.
Both teams score in 52% of Charlton's home games and 61% of Portsmouth's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Charlton are all-out attack: 2.0 goals a game, but they leak 1.0 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Portsmouth, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. Portsmouth have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (2.0 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
In the last 10 meetings: Charlton have won 4, Portsmouth 3, with 3 draws. These fixtures average 3.1 goals per game. 8 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: Charlton 1-3 Portsmouth, Portsmouth 2-1 Charlton, Charlton 2-0 Portsmouth.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Charlton Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Portsmouth Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Charlton vs Portsmouth kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 in the Championship.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 55.6% probability.