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Botafogo (6th, 63 pts) host RB Bragantino (10th, 48 pts) in the Brasileirão Série A. Both sides will be targeting three points here.
Danilo Santos has been Botafogo's spearhead, with 7 goals and 2 assists in 16 appearances, averaging 0.75 shots on target per game. I. Pitta has been RB Bragantino's main threat, with 6 goals and 2 assists in 21 appearances, averaging 0.67 shots on target per game.
Neither side arrives in vintage form. Botafogo have gone L-D-D-D-W, RB Bragantino's D-D-D-D-L reads much the same, but that's exactly the kind of game where one moment settles it and a whole fanbase goes home happy. Tight, tense, and there for the taking for whoever holds their nerve.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Botafogo create chances worth 1.6 a game (and give up chances worth 1.3), leaving them +0.3 a game on the balance. RB Bragantino create 1.2 (giving up 1.2) for a balance of 0.0. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
Botafogo average 1.5 goals per game and RB Bragantino manage 1.2. Combined that's just 2.7. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
In the last 10 meetings: Botafogo have won 7, RB Bragantino 1, with 2 draws. These fixtures average 2.5 goals per game. 5 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: RB Bragantino 1-2 Botafogo, Botafogo 4-1 RB Bragantino, RB Bragantino 0-1 Botafogo.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Botafogo Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | RB Bragantino Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Botafogo vs RB Bragantino kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 21:00 in the Brasileirão Série A.