Botafogo vs Gremio Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
There's barely anything between these two. Botafogo (6th, 63 pts) and Gremio (9th, 49 pts) meet in a fixture that could shape the Brasileirão Série A table.
Arthur Cabral has been Botafogo's spearhead, with 7 goals and 1 assists in 20 appearances, averaging 1.20 shots on target per game. Carlos Vinícius has been Gremio's main threat, with 10 goals and 1 assists in 23 appearances, averaging 0.96 shots on target per game.
Botafogo will be looking to make home advantage count (W11 D5 L3 at home). Gremio's away record reads W4 D5 L10. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Botafogo create chances worth 1.6 a game (and give up chances worth 1.3), leaving them +0.3 a game on the balance. Gremio create 1.6 (giving up 1.3) for a balance of +0.3. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
Botafogo average 1.5 goals per game and Gremio manage 1.2. Combined that's just 2.7. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Botafogo and Gremio together create chances worth 3.2 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
In the last 10 meetings: Botafogo have won 3, Gremio 5, with 2 draws. These fixtures average 4.1 goals per game. 7 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: Gremio 5-3 Botafogo, Botafogo 3-2 Gremio, Gremio 1-1 Botafogo.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Botafogo Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Gremio Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Botafogo vs Gremio kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 23:30 in the Brasileirão Série A.