Bet Builder · Fixture Tip

Botafogo vs Gremio Bet Builder Tip

Wednesday 16 September 2026, 23:30 · Brasileirão Série A

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

Our Model's Picks

Live bookie odds · verified record coming soon

Our 2-Leg Bet Builder

78.8% chance all legs land · model probability on each rail

Combined fair odds @1.27
  • Botafogo or draw

    ≈1.11

    Probability: 90.0% · Fair odds: 1.11

    API-Football's own advice for this game is double chance, Botafogo or draw (90%). Double chance is our strongest verified market.

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    ≈1.14

    Probability: 87.5% · Fair odds: 1.14

    API-Football goals model: expected goals 2.50 + 2.50 → Over 2.5 Goals at 88%.

Built from the bookmakers' fair odds for Botafogo vs Gremio, 78.8% combined. Legs treated as independent, so treat this as a guide.

More to Build With

Extra markets · not tracked

Player Form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • Arthur Cabral Botafogo
    Shots on Target 1+ 73%

    Arthur Cabral averages 1.20 SoT/match (20 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 1.32, P(1+)=73% P(2+)=38%

  • Matheus Martins Botafogo
    Shots on Target 1+ 65%

    Matheus Martins averages 0.95 SoT/match (21 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 1.05, P(1+)=65% P(2+)=28%

  • Carlos Vinícius Gremio
    Shots on Target 1+ 58%

    Carlos Vinícius averages 0.96 SoT/match (23 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.86, P(1+)=58% P(2+)=21%

  • A. Barboza Botafogo
    Shots on Target 1+ 47%

    A. Barboza averages 0.58 SoT/match (12 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.64, P(1+)=47% P(2+)=14%

  • Tetê Gremio
    Shots on Target 1+ 41%

    Tetê averages 0.58 SoT/match (19 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.52, P(1+)=41% P(2+)=10%

  • Arthur Cabral Botafogo
    Shots on Target 2+ 38%

    Arthur Cabral averages 1.20 SoT/match (20 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 1.32, P(1+)=73% P(2+)=38%

  • A. Barboza Botafogo
    To Be Carded 37%

    A. Barboza (Defender) on 0.42 yellows/match (12 apps), pos-mult 1.10 → lambda 0.46, P(carded)=37%

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match Stats

Informational only, not part of our tracked record. These corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.

  • Over 8.5 Match Corners, 41% Corners: Botafogo avg 3.2 for/5.9 against, Gremio avg 5.0 for/2.0 against → expected 8.0 match corners
  • Over 4.5 Match Cards, 71% Cards: Botafogo avg 4.3/game, Gremio avg 1.7/game → expected 6.0 match cards
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls, 59% Fouls: Botafogo avg 14.2/game, Gremio avg 11.7/game → expected 25.9 match fouls
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots, 58% Shots: Botafogo avg 11.7/game, Gremio avg 16.0/game → expected 27.7 match shots

How is this built?

This bet builder is auto-generated by our football model across hundreds of weekly picks. Every leg is a team market (match result, goals, BTTS). Each leg shows the model's probability alongside the fair odds, so you can see exactly where we think the edge is. We don't cherry-pick wins; we log every prediction we publish, win or lose. Player markets shown above are informational only and never count toward that record. This is a league we don't have a proven record on yet, so these legs are the model's read on the bookies' odds, not yet part of our verified record.

View our full verified track record →  |  Full match preview →