Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
Get the model's verified verdict on Seattle Sounders (and any team you follow) emailed the moment odds drop. Free, no spam, one-click unsubscribe.
Seattle Sounders have lost five in a row; Chicago Fire have won three of their last five. The visitors bring the sharper form into this MLS tie.
The travelling Chicago Fire fans arrive with a spring in their step, and rightly so. recent form reads W-L-L-W-W. That W-L-L-W-W away form is genuinely impressive. Seattle Sounders have been wobbling (L-L-L-L-L) 5 losses in a row. But home crowds have a way of dragging a side through, and Seattle Sounders will fancy that their own supporters can be the difference when it matters. Interestingly, Seattle Sounders have been poor at home recently while Chicago Fire travel well. the visitors' away form is superior to the hosts' home record. Chicago Fire could be in for a similar cool-off. 2.0 goals a game against chance quality worth only 1.8. Hot finishing has been covering for the fact they aren't creating that much.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Seattle Sounders create chances worth 2.0 a game (and give up chances worth 1.1), leaving them +0.8 a game on the balance. Chicago Fire create 1.8 (giving up 1.3) for a balance of +0.5. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath. Chicago Fire are also scoring more than their chances suggest (2.0 goals vs chance quality of 1.8). Both runs could cool off at once.
Seattle Sounders average 1.8 goals per game and Chicago Fire manage 2.0. Combined that's just 3.8. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Seattle Sounders and Chicago Fire together create chances worth 3.8 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
Seattle Sounders are all-out attack: 1.8 goals a game, but they leak 1.5 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Chicago Fire, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. Chicago Fire have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (1.8 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Seattle Sounders Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Chicago Fire Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 21:30 in the MLS.