Bet Builder · Fixture Tip

Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati Bet Builder Tip

Thursday 10 September 2026, 00:30 · MLS

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

Our Model's Picks

Live bookie odds · verified record coming soon
Limited tracked markets for this fixture, explore the informational markets below to build your own bet. ← Back to match preview

More to Build With

Extra markets · not tracked

Player Form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • M. Iloski Philadelphia Union
    Shots on Target 1+ 77%

    M. Iloski averages 1.33 SoT/match (21 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 1.47, P(1+)=77% P(2+)=43%

  • Evander FC Cincinnati
    Shots on Target 1+ 76%

    Evander averages 1.60 SoT/match (20 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 1.44, P(1+)=76% P(2+)=42%

  • K. Denkey FC Cincinnati
    Shots on Target 1+ 57%

    K. Denkey averages 0.95 SoT/match (20 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.86, P(1+)=57% P(2+)=21%

  • Cavan Sullivan Philadelphia Union
    Shots on Target 1+ 56%

    Cavan Sullivan averages 0.74 SoT/match (19 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.81, P(1+)=56% P(2+)=19%

  • M. Iloski Philadelphia Union
    Shots on Target 2+ 43%

    M. Iloski averages 1.33 SoT/match (21 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 1.47, P(1+)=77% P(2+)=43%

  • Evander FC Cincinnati
    Shots on Target 2+ 42%

    Evander averages 1.60 SoT/match (20 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 1.44, P(1+)=76% P(2+)=42%

  • Evander FC Cincinnati
    Anytime Scorer 41%

    Evander on 0.60 goals/match (20 apps), away vs opp conceding 1.30 goals/game → lambda 0.53, P(anytime scorer)=41%

  • B. Damiani Philadelphia Union
    Shots on Target 1+ 41%

    B. Damiani averages 0.48 SoT/match (21 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.52, P(1+)=41% P(2+)=10%

  • M. Miazga FC Cincinnati
    To Be Carded 40%

    M. Miazga (Defender) on 0.46 yellows/match (13 apps), pos-mult 1.10 → lambda 0.51, P(carded)=40%

  • K. Mboma Dem FC Cincinnati
    Shots on Target 1+ 39%

    K. Mboma Dem averages 0.56 SoT/match (18 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.50, P(1+)=39% P(2+)=9%

  • M. Iloski Philadelphia Union
    Anytime Scorer 39%

    M. Iloski on 0.48 goals/match (21 apps), home vs opp conceding 1.30 goals/game → lambda 0.49, P(anytime scorer)=39%

  • K. Denkey FC Cincinnati
    Anytime Scorer 38%

    K. Denkey on 0.55 goals/match (20 apps), away vs opp conceding 1.30 goals/game → lambda 0.48, P(anytime scorer)=38%

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match Stats

Informational only, not part of our tracked record. These corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.

  • Over 8.5 Match Corners, 50% Corners: Philadelphia Union avg 5.0 for/2.8 against, FC Cincinnati avg 4.5 for/5.1 against → expected 8.7 match corners
  • Over 4.5 Match Cards, 68% Cards: Philadelphia Union avg 3.1/game, FC Cincinnati avg 2.6/game → expected 5.8 match cards
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls, 80% Fouls: Philadelphia Union avg 16.8/game, FC Cincinnati avg 12.4/game → expected 29.1 match fouls
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots, 71% Shots: Philadelphia Union avg 16.4/game, FC Cincinnati avg 13.2/game → expected 29.6 match shots

How is this built?

This bet builder is auto-generated by our football model across hundreds of weekly picks. Every leg is a team market (match result, goals, BTTS). Each leg shows the model's probability alongside the fair odds, so you can see exactly where we think the edge is. We don't cherry-pick wins; we log every prediction we publish, win or lose. Player markets shown above are informational only and never count toward that record. This is a league we don't have a proven record on yet, so these legs are the model's read on the bookies' odds, not yet part of our verified record.

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