Bet Builder · Fixture Tip

NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt Bet Builder Tip

Wednesday 19 August 2026, 20:00 · Champions League

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

Our Model's Picks

Tracked · part of our verified record

Our 3-Leg Bet Builder

46.6% chance all legs land · model probability on each rail

Combined fair odds @2.14

  • NEC Nijmegen or draw

    ≈1.43

    Probability: 70.0% · Fair odds: 1.43

    Tracked this market has hit 90% across 71 verified picks

    API-Football's own advice for this game is double chance, NEC Nijmegen or draw (70%). Double chance is our strongest verified market.

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    ≈1.03

    Probability: 97.0% · Fair odds: 1.03

    Tracked this market has hit 61% across 96 verified picks

    API-Football goals model: expected goals 3.50 + 3.50 → Over 2.5 Goals at 97%.

  • Both Teams to Score

    ≈1.46

    Probability: 68.7% · Fair odds: 1.46

    Tracked this market has hit 53% across 58 verified picks

    Based on odds.

Our model rates this 3-leg combination at 46.6% combined, blending the strongest match-result and goals markets for NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt. Combined probability assumes the legs are independent, in reality the model-result and goals legs are mildly correlated, so treat the combined as a guide rather than a precise figure. We log every prediction we publish.

Alternative Picks

  • No Draw Double Chance 78.3% @1.26
  • Under 4.5 Goals 73.4% @1.29
  • Bodo/Glimt or Draw Double Chance 63.1% @1.60
  • Under 3.5 Goals 55.7% @1.67

More to Build With

Extra markets · not tracked

Player Form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • A. Helmersen Bodo/Glimt
    Shots on Target 1+ 57%

    A. Helmersen averages 0.93 SoT/match (14 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.84, P(1+)=57% P(2+)=20%

  • O. Didrik Blomberg Bodo/Glimt
    Shots on Target 1+ 47%

    O. Didrik Blomberg averages 0.71 SoT/match (17 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.64, P(1+)=47% P(2+)=13%

  • O. Brynhildsen Bodo/Glimt
    Shots on Target 1+ 44%

    O. Brynhildsen averages 0.64 SoT/match (11 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.57, P(1+)=44% P(2+)=11%

  • H. Evjen Bodo/Glimt
    Shots on Target 1+ 43%

    H. Evjen averages 0.62 SoT/match (13 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.55, P(1+)=43% P(2+)=11%

  • S. Fet Bodo/Glimt
    Shots on Target 1+ 40%

    S. Fet averages 0.56 SoT/match (16 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.51, P(1+)=40% P(2+)=9%

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match Stats

Informational only, not part of our tracked record. These corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.

  • Over 10.5 Match Corners, 53% Corners: NEC Nijmegen avg 10.0 for/2.7 against, Bodo/Glimt avg 6.0 for/3.2 against → expected 10.9 match corners
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards, 43% Cards: NEC Nijmegen avg 2.0/game, Bodo/Glimt avg 0.4/game → expected 2.4 match cards
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls, 42% Fouls: NEC Nijmegen avg 13.7/game, Bodo/Glimt avg 10.0/game → expected 23.7 match fouls
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots, 93% Shots: NEC Nijmegen avg 21.0/game, Bodo/Glimt avg 14.0/game → expected 35.0 match shots

How is this built?

This bet builder is auto-generated by our football model across hundreds of weekly picks. Every leg is a team market (match result, goals, BTTS). Each leg shows the model's probability alongside the fair odds, so you can see exactly where we think the edge is. We don't cherry-pick wins; we log every prediction we publish, win or lose. Player markets shown above are informational only and never count toward that record. These are the same markets that make up our verified record for this league.

View our full verified track record →  |  Full match preview →

What the market itself rates likely

Taken from bookmaker prices with the margin still inside. These are the bookmakers' own numbers, not our model, and no record of ours stands behind them. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Bodo/Glimt over 0.5 goals 85% best 1.22 Bet365
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 83% best 1.26 Betano
  • NEC Nijmegen or Bodo/Glimt (double chance) 83% best 1.30 William Hill
  • Bodo/Glimt under 2.5 goals 83% best 1.22 Pinnacle
  • Over 1 second half goals 83% best 1.20 Marathon Bet
  • Under 4.5 goals 81% best 1.29 Betano
  • NEC Nijmegen under 2.5 goals 80% best 1.29 1xBet
  • NEC Nijmegen over 1 goals 80% best 1.26 Marathon Bet
  • Under 2 first half goals 79% best 1.34 Pinnacle
  • Over 7.5 corners 78% best 1.29 Betano
  • Under 11.5 corners 77% best 1.30 Betano
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 76% best 1.35 William Hill

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