01The read
Can AEK Athens FC Win at Levski Sofia?
Levski Sofia 29%, the draw 28%, AEK Athens FC 42%. That's the shape of this one.
The bookmakers open Levski Sofia at @2.80 for this Champions League tie, with AEK Athens FC out at @2.30.
Reinaldo has been Levski Sofia's spearhead, with 3 goals and 0 assists in 6 appearances, averaging 0.17 shots on target per game. Whoever leads AEK Athens FC's line will have a job on against that profile.
Key men
R
Reinaldo
Levski Sofia · Attacker
3 goals in 6 apps
0.2 shots on target a game
▸ Form & goals
AEK Athens FC are the marginal favourites at 42%, but this isn't a one-sided affair. Levski Sofia will fancy their chances and the draw at 28% can't be ruled out. Expect a competitive contest. The margins between these two are slim.
It's a coin-flip whether we see three or more, and we make it 41%. Neither a high-scoring game nor a tight one is much more likely than the other. For something steadier, two or more goals at @1.36 is the more conservative option.
▸ Team news & context
European nights carry a magic all of their own. The anthem, the spotlight, the occasion. Both sets of players will be desperate to deliver under the continental floodlights.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
First Half Result
-
Levski Sofia HT
3.30
-
Draw HT
2.15
-
AEK Athens FC HT
2.88
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Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Levski Sofia Win |
@2.80
|
29.3% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@3.10
|
28.3% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
AEK Athens FC Win |
@2.30
|
42.4% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.83
|
46.2% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
No |
@1.85
|
53.8% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@2.15
|
41.4% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@1.74
|
58.6% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.36
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@3.10
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@3.75
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.27
|
- |
Bet365 |
05The numbers
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles 11 priced markets
-
Under 3.5 goals
84%
@1.27
Betano
-
Over 0.5 second half goals
79%
@1.30
William Hill
-
Levski Sofia or AEK Athens FC (double chance)
78%
@1.39
1xBet
-
AEK Athens FC over 0.5 goals
78%
@1.33
Bet365
-
Under 3 goals
76%
@1.40
Pinnacle
-
Under 1.5 first half goals
76%
@1.40
William Hill
-
Over 0.5 first half goals
74%
@1.52
Betano
-
AEK Athens FC or Draw (double chance)
74%
@1.42
1xBet
-
Levski Sofia under 1.5 goals
74%
@1.43
1xBet
-
Levski Sofia over 0.5 goals
74%
@1.40
1xBet
-
AEK Athens FC under 1.5 goals
69%
@1.52
1xBet
Build a slip from these markets →