01The read
Fenerbahçe vs Lyon: Preview & Prediction
The model makes Fenerbahçe 45% favourites here. Lyon carry the 29% upset.
The bookmakers open Fenerbahçe at @2.05 for this Champions League tie, with Lyon out at @3.10.
▸ Form & goals
Fenerbahçe are the marginal favourites at 45%, but this isn't a one-sided affair. Lyon will fancy their chances and the draw at 26% can't be ruled out. Expect a competitive contest. The margins between these two are slim.
It's a coin-flip whether we see three or more, and we make it 55%. Neither a high-scoring game nor a tight one is much more likely than the other. For something steadier, two or more goals at @1.22 is the more conservative option.
▸ Team news & context
European nights carry a magic all of their own. The anthem, the spotlight, the occasion. Both sets of players will be desperate to deliver under the continental floodlights.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
First Half Result
-
Fenerbahçe HT
2.40
-
Draw HT
2.38
-
Lyon HT
3.60
Latest News
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Team Intel
📊 Lyon · xG
For: 1.57/g
Against: 1.51/g
Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Fenerbahçe vs Lyon Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Fenerbahçe Win |
@2.05
|
45.1% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@3.40
|
25.8% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Lyon Win |
@3.10
|
29.1% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.62
|
52.1% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
No |
@2.20
|
47.9% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.75
|
54.5% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@2.08
|
45.5% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.22
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@4.07
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@2.75
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.42
|
- |
Bet365 |
05The numbers
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles 12 priced markets
-
Under 2.5 second half goals
85%
@1.22
Bet365
-
Over 1.5 goals
84%
@1.27
Betano
-
Fenerbahçe under 2.5 goals
83%
@1.25
Bet365
-
Fenerbahçe or Lyon (double chance)
82%
@1.32
1xBet
-
Fenerbahçe or Draw (double chance)
81%
@1.35
1xBet
-
Over 0.5 first half goals
77%
@1.35
Betano
-
Under 2 second half goals
76%
@1.31
1xBet
-
Lyon over 0.5 goals
76%
@1.36
10Bet
-
Over 2 goals
76%
@1.40
Betano
-
Fenerbahçe over 1 goals
74%
@1.35
1xBet
-
Lyon under 1.5 goals
71%
@1.52
1xBet
-
Under 1.5 first half goals
69%
@1.54
Pinnacle
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