Player Form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
A
A. Helmersen
1+ Shots on Target
57% (model)
A. Helmersen averages 0.93 SoT/match (14 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
O
O. Didrik Blomberg
1+ Shots on Target
47% (model)
O. Didrik Blomberg averages 0.71 SoT/match (17 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
O
O. Brynhildsen
1+ Shots on Target
44% (model)
O. Brynhildsen averages 0.64 SoT/match (11 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
H
H. Evjen
1+ Shots on Target
43% (model)
H. Evjen averages 0.62 SoT/match (13 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
S
S. Fet
1+ Shots on Target
40% (model)
S. Fet averages 0.56 SoT/match (16 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match Stats
Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
-
Over 10.5 Match Corners
53% (model)
Corners: NEC Nijmegen avg 10.0 for/2.7 against, Bodo/Glimt avg 6.0 for/3.2 against → expected 10.9 match corners
-
Over 2.5 Match Cards
43% (model)
Cards: NEC Nijmegen avg 2.0/game, Bodo/Glimt avg 0.4/game → expected 2.4 match cards
-
Over 24.5 Match Fouls
42% (model)
Fouls: NEC Nijmegen avg 13.7/game, Bodo/Glimt avg 10.0/game → expected 23.7 match fouls
-
Over 26.5 Match Shots
93% (model)
Shots: NEC Nijmegen avg 21.0/game, Bodo/Glimt avg 14.0/game → expected 35.0 match shots
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
01The read
NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt: Preview & Prediction
Too close to call on the numbers. NEC Nijmegen 35%, Bodo/Glimt 38%, the draw live at 26%.
The bookmakers open NEC Nijmegen at @2.20 for this Champions League tie, with Bodo/Glimt out at @2.75.
A. Helmersen has been Bodo/Glimt's main threat, with 6 goals and 1 assists in 14 appearances, averaging 0.93 shots on target per game.
Our pick
Our PickBoth teams to score at @1.40. Model probability 69% vs implied 71%. Priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
Key men
A
A. Helmersen
Bodo/Glimt · Attacker
6 goals · 1 assist in 14 apps
0.9 shots on target a game
Key facts
⚖
Toss-Up
Just 3% between these two. This could go either way
🔥
Goals Expected
We make it 66% for three or more goals. The signs point to an open game
⚽
Both to Score
We make both teams to score 69%. Neither side looks likely to keep the other out
▸ Form & goals
This one is wide open according to the bookmakers. NEC Nijmegen at @2.20 (35%) and Bodo/Glimt at @2.75 (38%) are closely matched, with the draw at @3.40 (26%) very much in play. When the odds are this tight, home advantage could be the deciding factor.
The bookmakers expect goals in this one. Three or more is priced at @1.53, and we make it 66%. Both sides will be looking to attack, and the pricing points towards at least three goals. Both teams to score is priced at @1.40 (we make it 69%). there's a good chance both sides find the net. For something steadier, two or more goals at @1.14 is the more conservative option.
▸ Team news & context
European nights carry a magic all of their own. The anthem, the spotlight, the occasion. Both sets of players will be desperate to deliver under the continental floodlights.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
First Half Result
-
NEC Nijmegen HT
2.50
-
Draw HT
2.60
-
Bodo/Glimt HT
3.00
Latest News
Loading latest news...
Team Intel
📊 Bodo/Glimt · xG
For: 2.77/g
Against: 0.85/g
⚠️ Outscoring xG by 0.73/g, possibly running hot
Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
NEC Nijmegen Win |
@2.20
|
35.4% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@3.40
|
26.2% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Bodo/Glimt Win |
@2.75
|
38.3% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.40
|
68.7% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
No |
@2.75
|
31.3% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.53
|
65.7% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@2.64
|
34.3% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.14
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@5.65
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@2.20
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.74
|
- |
Bet365 |
05The numbers
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles 12 priced markets
-
Bodo/Glimt over 0.5 goals
85%
@1.22
Bet365
-
Over 0.5 first half goals
83%
@1.26
Betano
-
NEC Nijmegen or Bodo/Glimt (double chance)
83%
@1.30
William Hill
-
Bodo/Glimt under 2.5 goals
83%
@1.22
Pinnacle
-
Over 1 second half goals
83%
@1.20
Marathon Bet
-
Under 4.5 goals
81%
@1.29
Betano
-
NEC Nijmegen under 2.5 goals
80%
@1.29
1xBet
-
NEC Nijmegen over 1 goals
80%
@1.26
Marathon Bet
-
Under 2 first half goals
79%
@1.34
Pinnacle
-
Over 7.5 corners
78%
@1.29
Betano
-
Under 11.5 corners
77%
@1.30
Betano
-
Under 2.5 second half goals
76%
@1.35
William Hill
Build a slip from these markets →