Bet Builder · Fixture Tip

Gremio vs Vasco da Gama Bet Builder Tip

Sunday 13 September 2026, 21:00 · Brasileirão Série A

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

Our Model's Picks

Live bookie odds · verified record coming soon

Our 2-Leg Bet Builder

68.6% chance all legs land · model probability on each rail

Combined fair odds @1.46
  • Gremio or draw

    ≈1.11

    Probability: 90.0% · Fair odds: 1.11

    API-Football's own advice for this game is double chance, Gremio or draw (90%). Double chance is our strongest verified market.

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    ≈1.31

    Probability: 76.2% · Fair odds: 1.31

    API-Football goals model: expected goals 2.50 + 1.50 → Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.

Built from the bookmakers' fair odds for Gremio vs Vasco da Gama, 68.6% combined. Legs treated as independent, so treat this as a guide.

More to Build With

Extra markets · not tracked

Player Form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • Carlos Vinícius Gremio
    Shots on Target 1+ 67%

    Carlos Vinícius averages 1.00 SoT/match (22 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 1.10, P(1+)=67% P(2+)=30%

  • A. Gómez Vasco da Gama
    Shots on Target 1+ 56%

    A. Gómez averages 0.90 SoT/match (20 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.81, P(1+)=56% P(2+)=19%

  • Tetê Gremio
    Shots on Target 1+ 46%

    Tetê averages 0.56 SoT/match (18 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.61, P(1+)=46% P(2+)=13%

  • Cuiabano Vasco da Gama
    Shots on Target 1+ 45%

    Cuiabano averages 0.67 SoT/match (15 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.60, P(1+)=45% P(2+)=12%

  • Carlos Vinícius Gremio
    Anytime Scorer 44%

    Carlos Vinícius on 0.45 goals/match (22 apps), home vs opp conceding 1.60 goals/game → lambda 0.57, P(anytime scorer)=44%

  • Thiago Mendes Vasco da Gama
    To Be Carded 38%

    Thiago Mendes (Midfielder) on 0.40 yellows/match (20 apps), pos-mult 1.20 → lambda 0.48, P(carded)=38%

  • J. Rodríguez Vasco da Gama
    Shots on Target 1+ 38%

    J. Rodríguez averages 0.53 SoT/match (15 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.48, P(1+)=38% P(2+)=8%

  • F. Amuzu Gremio
    Shots on Target 1+ 38%

    F. Amuzu averages 0.43 SoT/match (21 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.47, P(1+)=38% P(2+)=8%

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match Stats

Informational only, not part of our tracked record. These corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.

  • Over 8.5 Match Corners, 43% Corners: Gremio avg 5.0 for/2.0 against, Vasco da Gama avg 5.8 for/3.6 against → expected 8.2 match corners
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards, 53% Cards: Gremio avg 1.7/game, Vasco da Gama avg 2.1/game → expected 3.8 match cards
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls, 61% Fouls: Gremio avg 11.7/game, Vasco da Gama avg 14.4/game → expected 26.1 match fouls
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots, 87% Shots: Gremio avg 16.0/game, Vasco da Gama avg 16.9/game → expected 32.9 match shots

How is this built?

This bet builder is auto-generated by our football model across hundreds of weekly picks. Every leg is a team market (match result, goals, BTTS). Each leg shows the model's probability alongside the fair odds, so you can see exactly where we think the edge is. We don't cherry-pick wins; we log every prediction we publish, win or lose. Player markets shown above are informational only and never count toward that record. This is a league we don't have a proven record on yet, so these legs are the model's read on the bookies' odds, not yet part of our verified record.

View our full verified track record →  |  Full match preview →