Flamengo vs Botafogo Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Flamengo (1st, 79 pts) host Botafogo (6th, 63 pts) in the Brasileirão Série A. Both sides will be targeting three points here.
Pedro has been Flamengo's spearhead, with 12 goals and 4 assists in 21 appearances, averaging 1.14 shots on target per game. Arthur Cabral has been Botafogo's main threat, with 7 goals and 1 assists in 18 appearances, averaging 1.17 shots on target per game.
Flamengo will be looking to make home advantage count (W14 D5 L0 at home). Botafogo's away record reads W6 D7 L6. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Flamengo create chances worth 2.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.0), leaving them +1.1 a game on the balance. Botafogo create 1.6 (giving up 1.3) for a balance of +0.3. The underlying numbers clearly favour Flamengo. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones.
Flamengo average 2.1 goals per game and Botafogo manage 1.5. Combined that's just 3.6. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Flamengo and Botafogo together create chances worth 3.7 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
Promotion is on the line. Flamengo (1st) and Botafogo (6th) are both in the playoff places. This could determine who goes up.
Flamengo are in great shape right now, banging in 2.1 a game and only letting in 0.7. They're strong at both ends, so they tend to boss games and don't give much away at the back.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Flamengo Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Botafogo Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Flamengo vs Botafogo kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 20:00 in the Brasileirão Série A.