Mirassol vs Palmeiras Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
There's barely anything between these two. Mirassol (4th, 67 pts) and Palmeiras (2nd, 76 pts) meet in a fixture that could shape the Brasileirão Série A table.
Palmeiras are no pushovers away from home. W11 D2 L6 from 19 away trips, scoring 1.6 per game on the road. Mirassol (W12 D7 L0 at home) can't afford to take this lightly.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Mirassol create chances worth 1.5 a game (and give up chances worth 1.2), leaving them +0.3 a game on the balance. Palmeiras create 1.4 (giving up 1.2) for a balance of +0.2. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
Mirassol average 1.7 goals per game and Palmeiras manage 1.7. Combined that's just 3.4. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Matches involving Mirassol always carry an extra edge. When you're challenging at the top, every fixture is scrutinised, every dropped point analysed. Palmeiras will know they need to be at their best to get a result here.
A result here could reshape the title picture. Palmeiras (2nd) visit Mirassol (4th) knowing anything less than a win could see them slip.
Palmeiras prefer to keep things tight (0.9 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Mirassol against this setup.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%) and 0-1 (10%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Mirassol Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Palmeiras Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Mirassol vs Palmeiras kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 23:30 in the Brasileirão Série A.