Flamengo vs Mirassol Bet Builder Tip
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
Our Model's Picks
Live bookie odds · verified record coming soonOur 2-Leg Bet Builder
84.4% chance all legs land · model probability on each rail
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Flamengo or draw
≈1.11API-Football's own advice for this game is double chance, Flamengo or draw (90%). Double chance is our strongest verified market.
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Over 2.5 Goals
≈1.07API-Football goals model: expected goals 3.50 + 2.50 → Over 2.5 Goals at 94%.
Built from the bookmakers' fair odds for Flamengo vs Mirassol, 84.4% combined. Legs treated as independent, so treat this as a guide.
More to Build With
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer Form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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Pedro FlamengoShots on Target 1+ 74%
Pedro averages 1.23 SoT/match (22 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 1.35, P(1+)=74% P(2+)=39%
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Samuel Lino FlamengoShots on Target 1+ 53%
Samuel Lino averages 0.68 SoT/match (22 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.75, P(1+)=53% P(2+)=17%
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Alesson MirassolShots on Target 1+ 47%
Alesson averages 0.70 SoT/match (20 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.63, P(1+)=47% P(2+)=13%
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Pedro FlamengoAnytime Scorer 41%
Pedro on 0.64 goals/match (22 apps), home vs opp conceding 1.00 goals/game → lambda 0.53, P(anytime scorer)=41%
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Negueba MirassolShots on Target 1+ 39%
Negueba averages 0.56 SoT/match (9 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.50, P(1+)=39% P(2+)=9%
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Pedro FlamengoShots on Target 2+ 39%
Pedro averages 1.23 SoT/match (22 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 1.35, P(1+)=74% P(2+)=39%
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José Aldo MirassolTo Be Carded 39%
José Aldo (Midfielder) on 0.41 yellows/match (17 apps), pos-mult 1.20 → lambda 0.49, P(carded)=39%
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E. Pulgar FlamengoTo Be Carded 37%
E. Pulgar (Midfielder) on 0.38 yellows/match (13 apps), pos-mult 1.20 → lambda 0.46, P(carded)=37%
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match Stats
Informational only, not part of our tracked record. These corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
- Over 8.5 Match Corners, 46% Corners: Flamengo avg 3.7 for/4.3 against, Mirassol avg 4.0 for/4.8 against → expected 8.4 match corners
- Over 3.5 Match Cards, 57% Cards: Flamengo avg 2.0/game, Mirassol avg 2.0/game → expected 4.0 match cards
- Over 22.5 Match Fouls, 43% Fouls: Flamengo avg 9.0/game, Mirassol avg 12.8/game → expected 21.8 match fouls
- Over 26.5 Match Shots, 65% Shots: Flamengo avg 17.0/game, Mirassol avg 11.8/game → expected 28.8 match shots
How is this built?
This bet builder is auto-generated by our football model across hundreds of weekly picks. Every leg is a team market (match result, goals, BTTS). Each leg shows the model's probability alongside the fair odds, so you can see exactly where we think the edge is. We don't cherry-pick wins; we log every prediction we publish, win or lose. Player markets shown above are informational only and never count toward that record. This is a league we don't have a proven record on yet, so these legs are the model's read on the bookies' odds, not yet part of our verified record.
View our full verified track record → | Full match preview →