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Form, fitness, fine margins. RB Bragantino and Gremio meet in a fixture that could swing either way.
Neck and neck in the Brasileirão Série A standings. RB Bragantino (10th, 48 pts) host Gremio (9th, 49 pts) in a contest that promises intensity.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. RB Bragantino will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Gremio travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
RB Bragantino will be looking to make home advantage count (W9 D4 L6 at home). Gremio's away record reads W4 D5 L10. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
RB Bragantino create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.2), leaving them 0.0 a game on the balance. Gremio create 1.6 (giving up 1.3) for a balance of +0.3. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. RB Bragantino average 1.2 goals per game and Gremio manage 1.2. Combined that's just 2.4. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Neither side has much to play for in the grand scheme. no European places within reach and relegation isn't a concern. That can make for an unpredictable game with less pressure on both sides.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | RB Bragantino Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Gremio Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
RB Bragantino vs Gremio kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 20:00 in the Brasileirão Série A.