Our full track record
Every pick, every result. Nothing hidden, nothing cherry-picked, so you can audit exactly how our model has performed.
Last updated 18 Sept 2026, 10:27
1021
Total picks
731
/
290
Won / lost
72%
Hit rate
Monthly breakdown
Wins and losses, month by month. Tap a bar for the count.
Feb 26
Mar 26
Apr 26
May 26
Jun 26
Jul 26
Aug 26
Sept 26
Wins
Losses
Breakdown by market
Every market we have graded, with its hit rate on the record.
Over 1.5 Goals
Home Win
Double Chance - Home/Draw
Over 2.5 Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
BTTS Yes
Draw No Bet - Home
Away Win
Under 3.5 Goals
Double Chance - No Draw
Under 4.5 Goals
Double Chance - Away/Draw
BTTS No
Markets with fewer than 10 verified picks hidden. Too small a sample to draw conclusions.
Calibration by confidence
For each probability band: what the model predicted vs what actually happened. Close to zero = well-calibrated.
90-100%
80-90%
70-80%
60-70%
50-60%
40-50%
30-40%
Green = within 5pp (calibrated). Gold = over-delivering (actual beat the prediction). Red = under-delivering. Small samples are noisy. Weigh bands with more picks more heavily.
Breakdown by league
The same record, split by competition.
Championship
League One
Premier League
League Two
La Liga
Bundesliga
Serie A
Ligue 1
Champions League
World Cup
Locked in, grading next Before kickoff
These picks are already locked into the record above, timestamped before their games kick off. Whatever happens, they grade in public. The full board
Bayern München vs Union Berlin
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Home Win
76%
Bundesliga
home won 5/6 · away won 2/6 and lost 3/6
Fri 18 Sept, 19:30
locked 15 Sept, 08:30
Brentford vs Chelsea
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Over 1.5 Goals
80%+
Premier League
over 1.5 agreed in 12/12 of the sides' recent games (home 6/6 · away 6/6)
Fri 18 Sept, 20:00
locked 9 Sept, 23:02
Bristol City vs Watford
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Over 1.5 Goals
76%
Championship
over 1.5 agreed in 10/12 of the sides' recent games (home 5/6 · away 5/6)
Fri 18 Sept, 20:00
locked 16 Sept, 19:56
Espanyol vs Elche
over 1.5 agreed in 12/12 of the sides' recent games (home 6/6 · away 6/6)
Fri 18 Sept, 20:00
locked 16 Sept, 19:56
Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town
over 1.5 agreed in 10/12 of the sides' recent games (home 6/6 · away 4/6)
Sat 19 Sept, 12:30
locked 17 Sept, 19:51
Cardiff vs Charlton
over 1.5 agreed in 8/12 of the sides' recent games (home 5/6 · away 3/6)
Sat 19 Sept, 12:30
locked 16 Sept, 06:20
Tottenham vs Aston Villa
home unbeaten in 3/6 · away lost 4/6
Sat 19 Sept, 12:30
locked 16 Sept, 09:06
Barnet vs Fleetwood Town
over 1.5 agreed in 11/12 of the sides' recent games (home 6/6 · away 5/6)
Sat 19 Sept, 15:00
locked 15 Sept, 23:08
Burnley vs Derby
home unbeaten in 2/6 · away lost 4/6
Sat 19 Sept, 15:00
locked 16 Sept, 06:20
Salford City vs Swindon Town
over 1.5 agreed in 9/12 of the sides' recent games (home 3/6 · away 6/6)
Sat 19 Sept, 15:00
locked 15 Sept, 23:08
Wrexham vs Southampton
over 1.5 agreed in 11/12 of the sides' recent games (home 5/6 · away 6/6)
Sat 19 Sept, 15:00
locked 17 Sept, 23:54
Full pick history
Every graded pick, newest first. Filter by market, league, result or date.
| Date | Match | League | Pick | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sept |
AFC Wimbledon vs Milton Keynes Dons
0-0
|
League One |
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
|
1.23 |
Lost
The Money Model made Over 1.5 goals a strong 76% read before a ball was kicked. The receipts: over 1.5 agreed in 8/12 of the sides' recent games (home 3/6 · away 5/6).
Missed. A lean, not a lock, and the game broke the other way. It finished 0-0, only 0 goals, short of the 1.5 line.
|
| 18 Sept |
Malaga vs Villarreal
1-3
|
La Liga |
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
|
1.17 |
Won
The Money Model made Over 1.5 goals a strong 79% read before a ball was kicked. The receipts: over 1.5 agreed in 10/12 of the sides' recent games (home 5/6 · away 5/6).
Landed. The model's lean came good. It finished 1-3, 4 goals, clear of the 1.5 line.
|
| 17 Sept |
Barcelona vs Racing Santander
7-2
|
La Liga |
Home Win
74%
|
1.05 |
Won
The Money Model made Barcelona to win a 74% lean before a ball was kicked. The receipts: home won 6/6 · away won 3/6 and lost 2/6.
Landed. The model's lean came good. It finished 7-2.
|
| 16 Sept |
Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna
4-0
|
La Liga |
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
|
1.18 |
Won
The Money Model made Over 1.5 goals a strong 79% read before a ball was kicked. The receipts: over 1.5 agreed in 10/12 of the sides' recent games (home 6/6 · away 4/6).
Landed. The model's lean came good. It finished 4-0, 4 goals, clear of the 1.5 line.
|
| 16 Sept |
Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna
4-0
|
La Liga |
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
|
1.20 |
Won
The Money Model made under 45 a strong 78% read before a ball was kicked. The receipts: under 4.5 agreed in 11/12 of the sides' recent games (home 6/6 · away 5/6).
Landed. The model's lean came good. It finished 4-0, just 4 goals, under the 4.5 line.
|
| 16 Sept |
Middlesbrough vs Millwall
2-2
|
Championship |
Over 1.5 Goals
80%+
|
1.15 |
Won
The Money Model made Over 1.5 goals a strong 80%+ read before a ball was kicked. The receipts: over 1.5 agreed in 9/12 of the sides' recent games (home 5/6 · away 4/6).
Landed, exactly as the model read it. It finished 2-2, 4 goals, clear of the 1.5 line.
|
| 16 Sept |
Alaves vs Valencia
0-1
|
La Liga |
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
|
1.35 |
Lost
The Money Model made Over 1.5 goals a 73% lean before a ball was kicked. The receipts: over 1.5 agreed in 7/12 of the sides' recent games (home 5/6 · away 2/6).
Missed. A lean, not a lock, and the game broke the other way. It finished 0-1, only one goal, short of the 1.5 line.
|
| 15 Sept |
Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol
2-1
|
La Liga |
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
|
1.27 |
Won
The Money Model made Over 1.5 goals a strong 76% read before a ball was kicked. The receipts: over 1.5 agreed in 12/12 of the sides' recent games (home 6/6 · away 6/6).
Landed. The model's lean came good. It finished 2-1, 3 goals, clear of the 1.5 line.
|
| 14 Sept |
Como vs Parma
2-1
|
Serie A |
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
|
1.18 |
Won
The Money Model made Over 1.5 goals a strong 79% read before a ball was kicked. The receipts: over 1.5 agreed in 10/12 of the sides' recent games (home 5/6 · away 5/6).
Landed. The model's lean came good. It finished 2-1, 3 goals, clear of the 1.5 line.
|
| 14 Sept |
Manchester United vs Manchester City
0-1
|
Premier League |
Under 4.5 Goals
75%
|
1.26 |
Won
The Money Model made under 45 a strong 75% read before a ball was kicked. The receipts: under 4.5 agreed in 9/12 of the sides' recent games (home 4/6 · away 5/6).
Landed. The model's lean came good. It finished 0-1, just one goal, under the 4.5 line.
|
| 14 Sept |
Mirassol vs Vitoria
2-2
|
Brazilian Série A |
Double Chance - Home/Draw
78%
|
1.19 |
Won
The Money Model made Mirassol or the draw a strong 78% read before a ball was kicked. The receipts: home unbeaten in 4/6 · away lost 4/6.
Landed. The model's lean came good. It finished 2-2.
|
| 14 Sept |
Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid
0-3
|
La Liga |
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
|
1.17 |
Won
The Money Model made Over 1.5 goals a strong 79% read before a ball was kicked. The receipts: over 1.5 agreed in 11/12 of the sides' recent games (home 5/6 · away 6/6).
Landed. The model's lean came good. It finished 0-3, 3 goals, clear of the 1.5 line.
|
| 14 Sept |
Levante vs Barcelona
2-4
|
La Liga |
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
|
1.23 |
Won
The Money Model made Over 2.5 goals a 74% lean before a ball was kicked. The receipts: over 2.5 agreed in 8/12 of the sides' recent games (home 3/6 · away 5/6).
Landed. The model's lean came good. It finished 2-4, 6 goals, clear of the 2.5 line.
|
| 14 Sept |
Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid
0-3
|
La Liga |
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
|
1.22 |
Won
The Money Model made under 45 a strong 77% read before a ball was kicked. The receipts: under 4.5 agreed in 10/12 of the sides' recent games (home 4/6 · away 6/6).
Landed. The model's lean came good. It finished 0-3, just 3 goals, under the 4.5 line.
|
| 14 Sept |
Sassuolo vs Juventus
3-2
|
Serie A |
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
|
1.22 |
Won
The Money Model made Over 1.5 goals a strong 76% read before a ball was kicked. The receipts: over 1.5 agreed in 10/12 of the sides' recent games (home 6/6 · away 4/6).
Landed. The model's lean came good. It finished 3-2, 5 goals, clear of the 1.5 line.
|
| 14 Sept |
Napoli vs Bologna
1-0
|
Serie A |
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
|
1.32 |
Lost
The Money Model made Over 1.5 goals a 74% lean before a ball was kicked. The receipts: over 1.5 agreed in 8/12 of the sides' recent games (home 5/6 · away 3/6).
Missed. A lean, not a lock, and the game broke the other way. It finished 1-0, only one goal, short of the 1.5 line.
|
| 14 Sept |
Napoli vs Bologna
1-0
|
Serie A |
Double Chance - Home/Draw
79%
|
1.18 |
Won
The Money Model made Napoli or the draw a strong 79% read before a ball was kicked. The receipts: home unbeaten in 3/6 · away lost 4/6.
Landed. The model's lean came good. It finished 1-0.
|
| 14 Sept |
Le Mans vs Lens
2-2
|
Ligue 1 |
Over 2.5 Goals
75%
|
1.20 |
Won
The Money Model made Over 2.5 goals a strong 75% read before a ball was kicked. The receipts: over 2.5 agreed in 7/12 of the sides' recent games (home 3/6 · away 4/6).
Landed. The model's lean came good. It finished 2-2, 4 goals, clear of the 2.5 line.
|
| 13 Sept |
Sheffield Utd vs Wolves
0-1
|
Championship |
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
|
1.17 |
Lost
The Money Model made Over 1.5 goals a strong 79% read before a ball was kicked. The receipts: over 1.5 agreed in 11/12 of the sides' recent games (home 5/6 · away 6/6).
Missed. A lean, not a lock, and the game broke the other way. It finished 0-1, only one goal, short of the 1.5 line.
|
| 13 Sept |
Sunderland vs Arsenal
0-2
|
Premier League |
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
|
1.32 |
Won
The Money Model made Over 1.5 goals a 74% lean before a ball was kicked. The receipts: over 1.5 agreed in 8/12 of the sides' recent games (home 4/6 · away 4/6).
Landed. The model's lean came good. It finished 0-2, 2 goals, clear of the 1.5 line.
|
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Disclaimer: Odds shown are the best available at the time the prediction was recorded. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. T&Cs apply.