Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse Predictions & Odds
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Stade Brestois 29 are winless in their last five; Toulouse are unbeaten in their last four. The visitors bring the sharper form into this Ligue 1 tie.
Toulouse could be in for a similar cool-off. 1.5 goals a game against chance quality worth only 1.0. Hot finishing has been covering for the fact they aren't creating that much.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Stade Brestois 29 create chances worth 1.1 a game (and give up chances worth 1.7), leaving them -0.6 a game on the balance. Toulouse create 1.0 (giving up 1.4) for a balance of -0.4. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath. Toulouse are also scoring more than their chances suggest (1.5 goals vs chance quality of 1.0). Both runs could cool off at once.
Stade Brestois 29 average 1.0 goals per game and Toulouse manage 1.5. Combined that's just 2.5. We make it only 8% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Both teams scoring is unlikely here (29%).
Both teams score in 47% of Stade Brestois 29's home games and 53% of Toulouse's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (11%) and 1-1 (11%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Stade Brestois 29 Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Toulouse Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:45 in the Ligue 1.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.