Lyon vs Le Havre Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
Get the model's verified verdict on Lyon (and any team you follow) emailed the moment odds drop. Free, no spam, one-click unsubscribe.
Lyon have lost their last two; Le Havre have taken six points from their last five. Form gives little away going into this Ligue 1 tie.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Lyon create chances worth 1.6 a game (and give up chances worth 1.5), leaving them +0.1 a game on the balance. Le Havre create 1.2 (giving up 1.5) for a balance of -0.3. The underlying numbers clearly favour Lyon. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones. Lyon are trending upwards. Their chances are worth 1.9 a game over the last 5 vs 1.6 for the season. They're in a real attacking groove.
Lyon average 2.0 goals per game and Le Havre manage 1.6. Combined that's just 3.6. We make it only 8% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Both teams scoring looks unlikely (just 29%). Lyon shut the door in 44% of their games and Le Havre draw a blank in 41% of theirs, so don't be surprised if one side keeps it tight at the back.
Both teams score in 47% of Lyon's home games and 41% of Le Havre's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed. Lyon keep the other side out in 44% of games and Le Havre fail to score 41% of the time. there's a real chance one side keeps it tight at the back.
Lyon are all-out attack: 2.0 goals a game, but they leak 2.2 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Le Havre, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (9%) and 0-1 (5%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Lyon Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Le Havre Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Lyon vs Le Havre kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:45 in the Ligue 1.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.